To: wizzards wine who wrote (4644 ) 7/11/1998 12:32:00 PM From: Giordano Bruno Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34811
***Off Topic*** Preston, Iran's justification and a revised outlook. Friday July 10, 5:53 pm Eastern Time Iran didn't agree to Riyadh pact terms - Quiros CARACAS, July 10 (Reuters) - Alberto Quiros Corradi, a top Venezuelan oil adviser, said Friday that Iran didn't agree with the ground rules of the Riyadh pact to cut oil output and he suspected they were breaking the agreement for that reason. Quiros, who was a key member of Venezuela's team in the Riyadh talks, said Iran didn't agree that cuts should be made from real production, but rather from its OPEC quota, which was higher than its production level. ''In Iran, one could talk of violation because the real point of departure of its measures was not the one agreed to,'' he told a local radio station. ''Iran was always reluctant to accept the rule that the cut should be measured from real production instead of quotas...It so happened that Iran was producing less than its quota so they wanted to go back to the concept of quotas and, of course, everyone opposed that.'' Quiros, who despite his seniority in Venezuelan oil circles is neither a staff member of state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) nor a Ministry employee, said he, therefore, suspected that Iran was violating what it had ostensibly agreed with other members of the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). ''I suspect, and it is only a suspicion, that they are ignoring the real production agreement and measured their cut from a higher level. That could represent about a 200,000-barrels-per- day (bpd) difference,'' he said. Although it had an official OPEC quota of 3.942 million bpd, Iran agreed in March to cut by 140,000 bpd from its real output level, which was established at 3.623 million bpd. Venezuela's state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) and the Energy and Mines Ministry have given mixed signals about its compliance with its commitment. On Monday, PDVSA President Luis Giusti said Iran broke the agreement by 230,000 bpd, and he was backed up by PDVSA first vice president Claus Graf, who confirmed the figure. But Energy and Mines Minister Erwin Arrieta contradicted them Friday, saying he had no evidence of violation. Iran emphatically rejected Giusti's accusation on Wednesday, blaming the current crisis in oil markets on Giusti and asking him not to rely so much on ''secondary sources'' for production data. In the Riyadh pact, producers agreed to use secondary sources as the measure of production, since governments have used false data in the past. In its monthly survey of OPEC oil output, Reuters found that Iran produced 3.72 million bpd in April, 237,000 bpd above the level agreed in the Riyadh pact. Quiros said that Iran's non-compliance, added to a 400,000 bpd increase in Iraqi output, which wasn't included in the Riyadh pact, meant that OPEC's declared 1.245 million bpd cut from April only removed about 500,000 bpd of oil from the market. After the Riyadh pact failed to lift oil prices significantly from their 10-year lows, OPEC agreed in Vienna, following preliminary talks in Amsterdam, to another set of cuts, bringing the group's total agreed cut to 2.6 million bpd. ''I hope the Amsterdam agreement that starts on July 1 will have an effect on the inventories during August and that in September we should start to see a small recovery in prices, and this should become more apparent in October, November and December,'' Quiros added.