Excellent article Ken, thanks. I liked the way they treated the powering problem. But I must say, that running separate twisted pair to each unit to support voice did surprise me.
Concerning powering of CATV systems, there is a good article in this month's America's Network Magazine by Charles Mason, at...
americasnetwork.com
...which I'll print below. I think it is worth noting the obvious lag time getting this article to print, since several events in the interim such as T/TCOMA were not mentioned, nor were any of the initiatives that are obviously in store for these two merging entities.
Also, this article reinforces the notion that cell phones will serve to offset the less-than-optimal-power-back-up provisions by the CableCo.
Ray, how does this play with Bellcore's 8-hour requirement? That is to ask, what would the ramifications be for any operator who did not comply? What form of penalty or impediment would they meet up with, if any?
Regards, Frank C. =============================== Powering CATV into telephony MSOs wrestle with the eight-hour requirement.
By Charles Mason
For a number of reasons, cable TV (CATV) companies have been slow to expand beyond their core business of delivering one-way entertainment and information services.
However, the clock is ticking. Analysts note that the local exchange carriers (LECs) are finally deploying technology, such as asymmetrical digital subscriber line (ADSL) services, that will let them offer high-speed data services. Companies, such as Scientific-Atlanta (Norcross, Ga.) are in the process of unveiling products that will ease the transition of telcos into video, potentially allowing them to attack cable's heart and soul.
[[[fac: what,exactly, is the author referring to here? that Scientific Atlanta might be cultivating, that would allow Telcos to jump into Video? does anyone know?]]]
With these factors in mind, most of the larger multiple system operators (MSOs) are eyeing offering high-speed data services and telephony services. A few have already entered these businesses in selected markets. Analysts say that if MSOs proceed quickly, the potential for huge increases in revenues are very real.
The Strategis Group (Washington), for example, says that in the face of increased competition from direct broadcast satellite (DBS) and multichannel multipoint distribution service (MMDS), CATV companies are realizing that they must be serious about new service offerings. The firm predicts significant new revenue streams will develop from the provisioning of high-speed Internet access, among other new services. Cable operator revenues will top $43 billion in 2002, a $17 billion increase over the 1996 figure of $26 billion, the firm predicts. Revenue per subscriber per month will leap from $34.90 in 1996 to $53.90 in 2002.
The Strategis Group projects cable modem subscribers will reach 6.3 million, and digital cable set-top subscribers will approach 14 million in the United States in 2002. These two revenue streams will account for $14.4 billion in operator revenues over the next five years.
Basic CATV subscribers reached 62.8 million in 1996. The Strategis Group predicts that cable subscribers will increase to 67.9 million by year-end 2002, an average annual growth rate of only 1.5%. Cable's main competitor, DBS, will experience a much greater average annual subscriber growth rate of 24% from 1997 to 2002. MMDS subscribers are forecast to grow from 1.1 million in 1996 to 3.7 million in 2002.
Basic telephony: how basic?
If MSOs are to be the truly full-service providers that will attract the most customers, they ultimately will have to offer telephony services. However, to do so requires a decision. Do you seek to offer second-and third-line services-in other words, secondary telephony service-while leaving the telcos to continue providing lifeline service? This, some say, leaves the LECs with both a foot in the door as well as further solidifying their public image as the most-reliable telecommunications service providers.
Or, do CATV operators go all the way, meeting the Bellcore standard of eight hours of backup power to remote terminals? Going all of the way is not as simple as it sounds. It requires a considerable additional investment in money. That's because of the power requirements needed.
"When you start talking about lifeline telephony, you have power issues that must be addressed," says David Reed, vice president of strategic assessments at CableLabs (Louisville, Colo.) "This requires a significant additional investment."
Reed has been working on the industry's PacketCable initiative, which uses Internet protocol as its underlying technology. According to Reed and Steven Craddock, vice president of New Media Development at Comcast Corp. (Philadelphia), the system would allow consumers to have public switched telephone network (PSTN) services, including call waiting, call forwarding and three-way calling. They could use either existing phones or personal computers to communicate.
However, regardless of the technology, power is a crux. How do you offer the eight hours of power during power outages to give people the kind of lifeline-telephony that they are being provided by the telcos today? Or is it even really necessary?
A full eight hours?
The cost estimates for CATV companies to provide power for eight hours of telephony service vary, but everyone agrees they are significant. They are especially significant when you keep in mind that upgrading the physical plant of the cable networks is already a major undertaking in an in industry that has been cash strapped for the past several years.
An MSO wishing to offer full telephony services with lifeline performance must deploy power nodes throughout a hybrid fiber-coax network (HFC). In these networks, fiber is taken to a node that usually serves between 500 and 1,500 homes. Coax handles the remaining connections to the homes.
Power must be injected at each of these nodes through generators and batteries. Since the power input must be distributed, several sites are necessary to inject the juice for the up to 1,500 homes, further running up the cost.
"You can expect to pay about $30,000 per node," says Rick Marcotte, director of sales and marketing, for the Communications Systems Group at Exide Electronics Group Inc. (Raleigh, N.C.).
Marcotte, whose company is a major supplier of uninterruptable power supplies and related equipment to the CATV industry, says he is seeing fewer CATV companies interested in this approach. "Many are of the opinion that providing about an hour backup is adequate," he says. "This strategy can be very effective and we are seeing the industry moving in that direction at this point in the development process."
For one, it saves a lot of money. Marcotte says that it can provide a carrier with an initial upfront savings of about 50%, although those savings are less over the lifetime of the plant because of necessary battery replacement and other costs involved in the less costly, one-hour backup approach.
Exide Electronics and market share leader Alpha Technologies Inc. (Bellingham, Wash.) are offering power products to aid MSOs that want to expand their networks.
CableLabs' Reed sees a case for providing less than eight hours of backup service. "If you want to avoid these increased costs for now, then you can still enter the voice and data telephony market today by offering second- and third-line options to your customers," Reed notes. "You can still provide compelling services at advantageous prices."
While this less-than-a-full loaf would seem to offer disadvantages, some note that it's not necessarily so. Many consumers might be satisfied with this arrangement if the prices for additional telephony services are compelling.
"How many times do you need more than one hour of backup?" Marcotte asks.
Others point out that with the growing penetration of wireless phones, many customers could easily be persuaded to cut their lifeline connection to the local telco and sign on with their CATV company for normal telephony services, sans hours of power backup. "In this case, the customer knows that, worse case, they have their cell phones," Marcotte says.
That view is bolstered by what is happening in Europe in terms of the use of wireless. Mobile phone adoption in Europe continues to grow with household penetration levels in France, Germany and the United Kingdom of 12%,14% and 16%, respectively, according to a study by the Yankee Group (Boston). The Yankee Group's EuroTAF (technologically advanced family) consumer survey of 1,800 households in France, Germany and the United Kingdom, which gives insight into the adoption patterns for new technology products and services, indicates that mobile subscription is still growing in its own right, but it is also making in-roads into conventional residential wired or cordless telephone use.
This substitution effect could facilitate continuing mobile penetration growth toward the high levels for conventional phones which are found in virtually every home, according to the survey.
In Europe, many consumers now give out their mobile numbers as a primary means of contact, and are leaving their mobiles switched on while at home. Consumers also will make calls from their mobiles when the residential line is tied up by other family members. In other cases, consumers will exploit the convenience of a mobile phone in response to some very attractive tariffing for home use, particularly off-peak use. |