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To: Chris who wrote (11842)	7/12/1998 1:27:00 PM
From: Sonki	Respond to of 42787

Chris, it's that time of a month for me, where I get cranky. it is not just the women thing... it's men also. it's called OPTIONS EXPIRATIONS and I don't think any witches or worlock(sp?) are associiated w. this options.. i want to see a real nice dell chart to help me relax. and any other chart that you think I would be like to help me relax.... NANCY, still looking for BTB chart that some one gave me it's gone off my "to" list. gona be hard work this week. we should make a sell list this week instead of buy list.

To: Chris who wrote (11842)	7/12/1998 6:35:00 PM
From: Jack T. Pearson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42787

Chris, You are undoubtedly correct in urging caution because of the elections in Japan. But the effects are not obvious. There are many factors at work here. One of them is the flight of capital from Japan and the rest of Asia (except, possibly, China). This could have a positive impact on the US markets. The following factors all have different cycle times for their effects to be felt in the US markets, and probably a wholly different set of cycle times for their effects to be felt in the economy as a whole: Fear for the long term future of the Japanese economy, flight of capital, reduction in Japanese orders, and increased competitiveness of relatively lower cost Japanese goods. These different cycle times and the different magnitudes of the effects are some of the dimensions to a complex, multi-dimensional situation. In conclusion, if someone were to predict the US stock market will rise or fall on the news of the Japanese election results, and that prediction proves to correct, I will conclude that the person who made the prediction was more likely lucky than smart. Jack