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To: Lost in New York who wrote (19028)7/12/1998 2:51:00 PM
From: Mang Cheng  Respond to of 45548
 
Barron article q y mentioned :

**************************************************************
July 13, 1998



Hope Springs Eternal

Although Wall Street analysts repeatedly have sliced their 1998 earnings estimates,
they're expecting a wondrous revival in corporate profits in 1999 and 2000. The
sectors listed below have been ranked according to how their growth rates in '99
are expected to outdistance their growth rates in '98. While analysts anticipate a
snappy comeback in energy-sector earnings, they predict that health-care profits
will grow at a slower pace next year.

Estimated earnings growth
Sector
1998
1999
2000
Energy
-14.8%
17.9%
23.5%
Technology
1.4
29.6
17.9
Transportation
1.2
20.0
32.1
Basic materials
2.6
24.1
38.4
Utilities
2.8
7.6
10.9
Consumer staples
10.6
16.0
19.0
Communications services
13.0
19.5
23.4
Capital goods
14.0
18.0
17.7
Consumer cyclicals
8.5
10.0
20.4
Financial
12.0
13.8
15.0
Health care
16.7
15.2
17.1

Profits, Profits Everywhere

These big-cap companies are expected to increase earnings in '98 and '99 by more
than 25% each.

Estimated earnings growth
Company
1998
1999
2000
WorldCom
121%
120%
42%
International Paper
29
110
79
Boeing
169
87
22
3Com 1
81
49
NA
Tyco International2
36
36
24
Dell Computer3
45
33
NA
Columbia/HCA
51
32
12
HBO & Co.
41
30
32
1 Fiscal year ends the following May.
2 Fiscal year ends in September.
3 Fiscal year ends the following January.

If the Street's seers have read the entrails correctly, these woebegone issues will
redeem themselves with dazzling earnings growth in '99.

Estimated earnings growth
Company
1998
1999
2000
Union Pacific
-66%
314%
69%
Compaq
-60
213
27
Motorola
-57
130
12
Weyerhaeuser
-17
86
76
Clear Channel Commun
-11
74
32
Burlington Resources
-47
39
39
Unocal
-28
36
30
Texaco
-29
30
NA
Source: I/B/E/S International