To: John Curtis who wrote (3328 ) 7/12/1998 6:12:00 PM From: MGV Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27311
Substantive comments on merits of a projection of 12 months net profit of $95 Million are invited. Can anyone explain how if, assuming for the sake of argument, the numbers are plausible, and production of the magnitude represented in the projection is imminent, how a company w/ market cap of about $120 M would: a. find itself with more short term obligations than liquid assets and b. not have been in play as soon as the information necessary to project $95 Million in net profit became public? This assumes of course that the projection is not based on SEC prohibited insider information. Premises: 1. VLNC will earn $95 Million in net profit in first year of production and presumably grow cash flow annually after the 1st year. 2. Production is imminent.exchange2000.com Apparent Conclusion accepting the premises as true: Buy VLNC outright right now at approx. current market cap of $120 Million. If FMK could sit down and show his numbers to a banker and convince the banker, there is no banker in the world that would deny the financing to purchase VLNC outright, lock, stock, and barrel. Question: Why doesn't he or anyone else, including industry giants, to whom $120 M is pocket change, do just that? Maybe because his numbers wouldn't be convincing to anyone, anywhere (other than the internet apparently for some). FMK recently posted the following with regard to the idea of a VLNC investment in three additional production lines before having a contract and confirmed commercial acceptance of product: (Paraphrase) He said, three lines will earn $100 Million and cost $20 Million so he would invest $20 M to earn $100 M. Using the same rationale and applying it to VLNC as a going concern, he represents you can buy $95 M in net profit annually for in the neighborhood of its current market cap of approx. $120 M.