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To: Dennis R. Duke who wrote (3679)7/15/1998 10:57:00 AM
From: Andy Smith  Respond to of 5058
 
I've been following undergroundtrader.com, I noted that they saw a lot of volume in July 10 calls. This is when RDRT was about 2 1/2 weeks ago when RDRT was about 9 and the call was trading at 1/2. If someone expects them to be worth something before expiration (7/18) they must have a positive surprise in mind for after the bell today.



To: Dennis R. Duke who wrote (3679)7/15/1998 11:09:00 AM
From: Andy Smith  Respond to of 5058
 
Conference Call Today:

2:00 PM Pacific Time
Phone: 800-633-8284
Reservation: 4394863



To: Dennis R. Duke who wrote (3679)7/15/1998 1:49:00 PM
From: T Bowl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5058
 
Dennis -

IMO the RDRT CC tonight will be very grim. I point to several
aspects from the SEG CC that applies to RDRT's market = WDC, Maxtor, Samsung.
All primarily desktop drive players...

Indy supply into the desktop market is NOT a good place to be right now IMO.

******SEG NOTES that I think apply to RDRT(all bad, I could find no good ones)***
'- desktop rev $552mil down from $707mil
- we don't expect significant industry improvement in the desktop market during the SepQ.

- desktop environment was extremely competitive. The price erosion was quite drastic -
more siginificant than last Q.

- We think channel inventory is about 7.3wks which is slightly down from last Q.
Our view that conditions will staty very competitve.

- We have 2 outside vendors that are very competitive on the pgm.

- external head supply goal is 10-20% external. We source those at different levels.
1) wafer - lowest level possible, 2) sliders, 3) HGAs. Overall % at all levels was
7% dominated by wafers. Flat with previous Q. That will change going fwd. Next Q
expect about 12% external with maybe 2% at HGA level - the bulk still at wafer level.

Q=> have you heard from any other box OEMs other than HP that the DD industry
might be pushing too hard and increasing bit densities and are actually ahead
of the curve and than the user demand isn't demanding the same sort of upticks
that they have in the past?
- don't confuse areal density development with total capacity per platform.
I talked about that at the BS conference. Even if you have a flattening of total storage
requirements, in some since when this happens you need to push
areal density even harder in order to reduce components and there reduce costs.
Yes we believe that hardware technology is ahead of software - we don't know
whether this is a 9, 12, or 18month phenom - we won't speculate
on that.

todd