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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: wolfdog2 who wrote (25866)7/16/1998 11:53:00 AM
From: BOGEY  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Thread....News Item..Higher earnings seen for shunned oil service firms

Reuters, Thursday, July 16, 1998 at 01:04

By Andrew Kelly
HOUSTON, July 15 (Reuters) - U.S. oil field service companies
are expected to post double-digit earnings increases despite the
lingering slump in crude oil prices, analysts said on Wednesday.
Analysts have repeatedly lowered their earnings forecasts this
year to reflect a reduction in oil company exploration and
production budgets, much of which is spent on oil field services.
But earnings for the most recent quarter and the year as a whole
are still expected to be higher than year-earlier levels.
Price increases implemented by service companies before the
worst of the oil price gloom descended would help to buoy
earnings, Dan Pickering of Simmons & Co. said.
"Estimates are clearly coming down. We've had some pretty
dramatic revisions in the past six weeks but the absolute numbers
at this point still show growth," he said.
Four big oil field service companies will report earnings over
the next two weeks: EVI Weatherford Inc. (NYSE:EVI), Schlumberger
Ltd.(NYSE:SLB), Halliburton Co. (NYSE:HAL), and Baker Hughes
Inc (NYSE:BHI).
According to research service First Call Corp., Wall Street
analysts are projecting double-digit earnings rises for all but
Baker Hughes, which analysts say has been hit more immediately by
low oil prices because a higher share of its sales consist of
"consumables" such as drill bits and mud.
The First Call consensus figures show all four companies
currently are expected to post double-digit earnings growth for
the year as a whole and further profit increases in 1999.
As a group, oil field services stocks were among fund
managers' favorites in 1997.
Schlumberger, Halliburton and EVI all outpaced the 31 percent
rise in the S&P 500 index last year with share price appreciation
of 61 percent, 72 percent and 103 percent, respectively.
But that has changed this year with most services stocks
showing losses while the S&P 500 has continued its ascent.
Despite a mini-rally in recent days, Schlumberger's stock is
down more than 13 percent so far this year and Halliburton's off
over 18 percent while the S&P 500 is up over 21 percent.
Analysts said investors had lost confidence in the sector as
successive recoveries in oil prices proved short-lived.
"Investor sentiment towards the group is horribly negative,"
said James Wicklund of Dain Rauscher Inc.
Wicklund said investors had probably overreacted, arguing that
the current oil supply glut was far smaller than that in the
mid-1980s. Wicklund foresees a firming of oil prices by the end of
the year due to seasonal demand and recently agreed production
cuts.
"Investors are looking for that before they really buy back
into these stocks," he said.
Pickering said he also expected to see stronger oil prices by
the late third quarter or fourth quarter of this year, which would
benefit oil field service companies.
"We are looking for a rebound in energy fundamentals, which is
going to translate into stronger activity," he said.
Asked about his favorite stocks in the oil field services
sector, Pickering said EVI was "far and away the cheapest" based
on his estimate of 1999 earnings.
Wicklund said he had a 'hold' rating on the larger companies
and currently favored niche oil field service players such as Core
Laboratories (NYSE:CLB) and Hanover Compressor (NYSE:HC).

COMPANY EARNINGS EXPECTED FIRST CALL CONSENSUS EPS
Latest Qtr YR 1998
EVI Weatherford Q2 July 16 $.065 vs 0.42 $2.71 vs 1.81
Schlumberger Q2 July 21 $0.69 vs 0.60 $2.88 vs 2.52
Halliburton Q2 July 22 $0.50 vs 0.40 $2.18 vs 1.75
Baker Hughes Q3 July 24 $0.45 vs 0.46 $1.87 vs 1.68