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To: djane who wrote (50189)7/17/1998 8:32:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 61433
 
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for fiscal year
ending 12/98 from $1.18 to $1.21 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for fiscal year
ending 12/99 from $1.46 to $1.61 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
03/99 from $0.35 to $0.37 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
06/99 from $0.36 to $0.39 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
09/98 from $0.30 to $0.32 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
09/99 from $0.37 to $0.41 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
12/98 from $0.34 to $0.35 on 07/15/98
ASND: BANCAM/ROB STEP increased estimate for quarter ending
12/99 from $0.38 to $0.43 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST has reiterated estimate for quarter
ending 09/98 of $0.31 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST has reiterated estimate for quarter
ending 12/98 of $0.34 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST increased estimate for fiscal year
ending 12/98 from $1.19 to $1.20 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST made new estimate for fiscal year ending
12/99 of $1.55 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST made new estimate for quarter ending
03/99 of $0.35 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST made new estimate for quarter ending
06/99 of $0.37 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST made new estimate for quarter ending
09/99 of $0.40 on 07/15/98
ASND: HAMBRECHT&QUIST made new estimate for quarter ending
12/99 of $0.44 on 07/15/98
ASND: Major Broker increased estimate for fiscal year ending
12/98 from $1.20 to $1.21 on 07/15/98
ASND: Major Broker increased estimate for fiscal year ending
12/99 from $1.60 to $1.62 on 07/15/98
ASND: Major Broker increased estimate for quarter ending 09/99
from $0.41 to $0.42 on 07/15/98
ASND: Major Broker increased estimate for quarter ending 12/99
from $0.44 to $0.45 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES decreased estimate for quarter ending
12/98 from $0.35 to $0.34 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for fiscal year ending
12/98 from $1.15 to $1.20 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for fiscal year ending
12/99 from $1.51 to $1.65 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for quarter ending
03/99 from $0.35 to $0.37 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for quarter ending
06/99 from $0.37 to $0.39 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for quarter ending
09/98 from $0.28 to $0.31 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for quarter ending
09/99 from $0.38 to $0.43 on 07/15/98
ASND: RAYMOND JAMES increased estimate for quarter ending
12/99 from $0.40 to $0.46 on 07/15/98
ASND: SBC WAR/DIL REA made new estimate for fiscal year ending
12/98 of $1.19 on 07/01/98
ASND: SBC WAR/DIL REA made new estimate for fiscal year ending
12/99 of $1.50 on 07/01/98
ASND: SBC WAR/DIL REA made new estimate for long term EPS
growth of 30.00% per year on 07/01/98
ASND: SBC WAR/DIL REA made new estimate for quarter ending
06/98 of $0.28 on 07/01/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. increased estimate for fiscal year
ending 12/98 from $1.20 to $1.21 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. increased estimate for fiscal year
ending 12/99 from $1.60 to $1.62 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. increased estimate for quarter ending
09/98 from $0.31 to $0.32 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. made new estimate for quarter ending
03/99 of $0.37 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. made new estimate for quarter ending
06/99 of $0.38 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. made new estimate for quarter ending
09/99 of $0.42 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. made new estimate for quarter ending
12/98 of $0.35 on 07/15/98
ASND: SG COWEN SECUR. made new estimate for quarter ending
12/99 of $0.46 on 07/15/98



To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:29:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
Technology puzzles no more VOIP, VPNs get real at Supercomm [HP/ASND SS7 info]

americasnetwork.com

By David Kopf, July 15, 1998

Things are falling into place. In AN's Jan. 15 "Killer Apps" issue, I wrote
that voice over Internet protocol (VOIP) and virtual private networks (VPNs)
could make a "banner year" out of 1998 for Internet service providers (ISPs).
The sticking point was that both technologies needed some serious
development.

Well, ISPs, you got your wish; Supercomm '98 brought much hope where
VOIP and VPNs are concerned. The show reflected much of what is
developing in the industry's IP space: the maturing of VOIP and VPNs into
technologies that can support wide-scale, carrier-class deployment. These
technologies and applications are growing up to be full-fledged service offerings
that customers want. More importantly, some key Supercomm '98 exhibitors
used the show to roll out products that make those technologies more like real
services than ever.

VOICE

If anything is indicative of VOIP's evolution, the fact that there's actually an
acronym for Internet telephony service providers (ITSPs) should be fairly clear
scrawling on the wall. However, ITSPs have been fairly limited in what they
can offer: mostly, cheap overseas tariff arbitrage services. What's been missing
has been interworking with the public switched telephone network's (PSTN's)
signaling system 7 (SS7) and intelligent network (IN) features, as well as a way
to replicate those features in an IP environment. That's not true any longer.


For starters, Hewlett-Packard Co. (HP; Palo Alto, Calif.) dropped the fairly
significant bomb (to the press that is; not publicly until later in June) that its
OpenCall IN platform, a mainstay voice networking tool, would now provide
SS7/ISUP as well as IP signaling. This takes a system which since 1993 has
been a platform for developing, deploying and managing IN applications to the
next step: interworking with IP for apps that span packet and circuit worlds.

Following HP's lead, Ascend Communications Inc. (Alameda, Calif.)
announced the Ascend Signaling Gateway (ASG), which incorporates
technologies such as HP's OpenCall platform to provide a platform for
translating PSTN services to the 'Net and then some. The ASG will provide
solutions in stages:

Relieving Internet congestion on the PSTN (phase one), available in
August;
Offering VOIP (phase two), released in December; and
IN-based services such as network-wide modem pooling and alternate
call routing to different networks, such as asynchronous transfer mode
(ATM) or frame relay or IP, available Q1-Q2 1999.


Nortel (Brampton, Ontario) tapped Microsoft Corp.'s (Redmond, Wash.)
WindowsNT Server platform as the foundation on which it will build its Internet
telephony offerings. Nortel will use NT for applications such as Internet call
waiting to notify online 'Net users that they have incoming calls and services
that integrate call, message time and contact management.

In similar news, ITXC Corp. (Princeton, N.J.) will support Lucent
Technologies' (Murray Hill, N.J.) PacketStar Internet Telephony Server for
Service Providers (ITS-SP) on its WWeXchange service. WWeXchange links
ITSPs' gateways to each other, and connects WWeXchange affiliates to every
telephony number in the world so that callers can make cheap international calls
anywhere. Now, ITSPs using ITS-SP can now offer services made possible by
WWeXchange to their users.

VPNs

A natural service marriage for VOIP would be with VPNs. Having a private,
secure, IP-based extranet with business partners that includes cheap,
packetized voice would be a service dream for a lot of business customers. To
that end, VPNs are coming right along. The big concerns right now are
standards and how to convince businesses they can trust service providers'
managed network services.

The trust factor will be something service providers must earn over time, and
standardized, reliable technology will be the key to winning that trust. To that
end, the various VPN standards, such as IP Security (IPSec), point-to-point
tunneling protocol (PPTP), layer 2 forwarding (L2F) and layer 2 tunneling
protocol (L2TP) have been taking some time to settle into place as vendors
hype one technology over another.

Bay Networks Inc. (Santa Clara, Calif.) showed its protocol leanings by
debuting support for L2TP across three of its product lines to support tunnel
initiation and termination. L2TP support for site-to-site and extranet VPNs is
available for Bay's Contivity Extranet Switch family; its BN, BCN and ASN
Routers; and its Versalar remote access software, Versalar Remote Access
Concentrator (RAC) family.

In other VPN news, Cisco Systems Inc. (San Jose, Calif.) announced its
Service Management system, which lets ISPs plan, provision, monitor and bill
for various differentiated services such as VPNs (as well as VOIP, for that
matter). The system should let ISPs quickly provision VPNs in a
multi-technology environment, as well as monitor VPNs (and other
differentiated IP services) to ensure faults on one service don't impair another.

Looking at Supercomm '98's VOIP and VPN announcements, it's safe to say
that service providers have the technology they need to make these services
real. Whether or not VOIP and VPN services make it to the next evolutionary
level will be up to service providers and their customers.

July 15, 1998 table of contents

Copyright 1998 Advanstar Communications. Please send any technical comments or
questions to the America's Network webmaster.




To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:33:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
VOIP: What, me worry? Technological limitations fast becoming a non-issue for Internet telephony [Info on HP/ASND SS7]

americasnetwork.com

By David Kopf, July 15, 1998

Voice over Internet protocol (VOIP) naysayers, you've got about a year
before you'll have to find another technology to knock. Internet telephony is
fast becoming a solution worthy of the public network; moreover, customers
seem to want it and, increasingly, so do carriers.

The VOIP market is maturing as subscribers-rom residential users to telecom
managers at large enterprises-realize the cost benefits of Internet telephony as
well as the range in applications. What's more, IP is what customers want. In a
Gartner Group Inc. (Stamford, Conn.) study on protocol distribution in wide
area networks (Figure 1), IP is skyrocketing and set to dominate other
protocols by the turn of the millennium. Consumer Internet telephony users will
give providers of residential VOIP services with $1 billion by 2002, according
to Forrester Research Inc. (Cambridge, Mass.). Also, voice and fax over the
Internet and corporate IP networks will draw 4% of standard telco revenues
away from the public switched telephone network (PSTN), and will save
business users $1 billion, Forrester says.

Where many facilities-based carriers once viewed VOIP with suspicion, they
now are studying how Internet telephony may benefit their voice business.

The big sticking point for VOIP has been the technology. Despite heavy
market interest, VOIP is still quite a new technology and until late hasn't been
ready for prime time. At its baby-steps stage, VOIP was limited to PC-to-PC
transmissions facilitated by client software but quickly grew to real service with
the advent of gateway-based VOIP. Instead of calling PCs, users now can dial
to a gateway connected to the Internet. That gateway, via an interactive voice
response (IVR) interface, prompts users to enter their billing information and
the number they want to reach. That first gateway connects across the 'Net to
the gateway closest to the dialed number, and establishes a VOIP connection
via H.323 protocol (the de facto VOIP standard). The second gateway
outdials to the recipient's number and the call is established.

Gateway-based VOIP sounds nifty but, upon closer inspection, raises many
questions: Should Internet telephony service providers (ITSPs) rely on a public,
shared, packet network like the Internet? Is a private backbone better? Will
users stand for multistage dialing? If so, for how long? What about interworking
the PSTN-especially intelligent network (IN) applications such as local
number portability (LNP)? How do services like centrex take advantage of
VOIP? The list grows longer as the technology progresses.

However, that checklist is quickly being answered as VOIP technology
accelerates at a pace matched only by service provider interest. Now the main
problem for ITSPs is quickly changing from "Where's the technology?" to
"Which approach should I take?"

SERVICE OPPORTUNITIES FOR ALL

Internet telephony is not the "carrier killer" that industry watchers initially
pegged it to be. Although the service provides an alternative to standard PSTN
voice telephony, there's no reason traditional telcos can't offer it, and they are.

Without doubt, VOIP is not limited to the simple tariff arbitrage application that
dominates most of the services offered by ITSPs. Instead of just a cheap call
from Los Angeles to Hong Kong, or New York to London, Internet telephony
represents to established carriers a whole range of services that can span a
carrier's entire business. Shawn Wiora, program manager for enhanced IP
services at GTE Corp. (Stamford, Conn.) says his company is placing "a
particular emphasis on IP telephony," especially when it comes to bundling
VOIP with GTE's current services. For GTE, VOIP would represent a
companywide effort.

Besides the obvious opportunities for VOIP at GTE's ISP arm, GTE
Internetworking (Cambridge, Mass.), GTE could find some VOIP services for
its online directory service, GTE Superpages, which is produced by GTE New
Media Services Inc. (Dallas/Fort Worth). The wireless angle for some sort of
mobile, IP-based device could find a home at GTE Wireless (Atlanta), and IP
telephony applications up in the wild blue yonder in regard to GTE Airfone
(Oakbrook, Ill.), which provides in-flight communications, Wiora says.

Obviously, GTE Long Distance, with 2 million customers, could find many
ways to offer up VOIP services to its users. "Voice over IP presents a
tremendous opportunity to these folks," Wiora says.

For GTE, bundling VOIP into other services may be the name of the game.
Wiora says the provider is studying four key bundling approaches:

Standard voice services. GTE's emphasis is in this arena, particularly in
long distance. "For GTE, we see a long-term play," he says.
Fax. Fax over IP (FOIP) does not pose the technological challenges that
real-time VOIP does, broadcasting faxes over the 'Net could be an
appealing GTE service to business users, particularly the small
office/home office (SOHO) market.
Messaging. While trying to maintain a live voice conversation over a
packet network might be touchy, store-and-forward communications
such as IP voice messaging could provide a more flexible voice mail
service for GTE. Moreover, GTE could offer bells and whistles like
unified messaging, which lets customers manage their voice, e-mail and
fax messages via a PC-based interface.
New access devices. This could appeal to GTE Wireless customers.
"You could have an IP phone that supports voice, but also e-mail,"
Wiora says. "You could respond by voice to an e-mail with a single
push of a button. You don't need a clunky keyboard."

Will all these opportunities, there are still some VOIP issues that are shaking
out and there are questions carriers need to answer in planning their VOIP
networks and services.

PSTN COMPATIBILITY

One of the biggest questions surrounding VOIP services has been interworking
and interoperability with the PSTN. Gateway-based VOIP is one things, but to
attract the numbers that would make residential Internet telephony service
possible, ITSPs need to to seamlessly with the SS7 network, and they need to
be able to work with tricky IN applications and services.

One thing that has pushed interworking between the PSTN and the Internet has
been increased data traffic on voice switches ("The post-switch, SS7 solution,"
July 1). Bellcore (Morristown, N.J.) and other vendors have developed
methods to offload dial-up Internet traffic out of the voice matrix to decongest
the PSTN using SS7 and IN capabilities; but in so doing, they also have
provided inspiration to vendors and other technology developers seeking to
route voice to the data network.

An important step in that direction was Hewlett Packard Co.'s (Palo Alto,
Calif.) June announcement that its OpenCall network platform, a mainstay
voice networking tool, would now provide SS7/ISUP as well as IP signaling
(see "Technology puzzles no more"). One of the first vendors to integrate
this capability into one of its systems was Ascend Communications Inc.
(Alameda, Calif.), which debuted its Ascend Signaling Gateway (ASG) system,
which provides a platform for not just offloading 'Net congestion from the
PSTN, but geared for provisioning straight forward VOIP services (Figure 2),
as well as providing more complex, IN-based apps such as alternate call
routing to specific networks.

"In the typical telephone network the SS7 does a bearer channel setup through
the level four, level five switches and connects a call from point A to point B,"
says Ted Butch, director of access product marketing for Ascend. With the
ASG, "The SS7 communicates with the Ascend Signaling Gateway and is able
to set up a bearer channel through the data network. So now you're able to set
up a bearer channel through the PSTN or through the data network."

At the data connection side, the ASG provides voice over data profiles so that
a VOIP transmission could be tunneled through a VPN into a private IP
backbone or other network. As Ascend boils more IN functionality into the
ASG (Q1-Q2 1999), the system will be able to offer call routing applications
that will let carriers apply service rules to route traffic to specific networks
(Figure 3).


However, PSTN interworking isn't the end-all, be-all solution to VOIP woes.
Internet telephony will most likely advance from both directions: developing
better interoperability between VOIP and the PSTN, but also moving more of
PSTN's functionality to a packet data environment, says Al Bender, vice
president and general manager of Nortel's (Brampton, Ontario) VOIP
solutions for service providers.

Nortel announced in late June its IPConnect portfolio of VOIP products, which
is geared to give service providers a carrier-class Internet telephony platform
using preexisting Nortel DMS, MMCS and CVX 1800 switches.

"The technologies we've been using have been trying to push data down the
voice network," Bender says. "Now that data has exceeded voice traffic on the
PSTN, the question is now, `How can we push voice down the data
network?'"

So, Internet telephony's deployment issues aren't limited to VOIP-SS7
interworking, but include challenges such as developing a complete set of
IP-based call services. Bender says the goal is to export to IP networks even
the lowliest of voice services, such as "This number is no longer in service"
announcements, all the way to linking LNP and other advanced IN (AIN)
functions to an IP environment.

PSTN interconnection is really a question of perspective, according to Bender.
It all depends on which side of the network you're starting on. Facilities mean a
lot to carriers that have built them, but new players may simply want the
applications that SS7 and IN/AIN provide without much care about which
protocols/technologies are really delivering them.

"The ILECs, etc. will still want to use their facilities, but ITSPs won't have a
mindset of pre-existing equipment," he says. "They don't want to buy AIN;
they want 800 services or caller ID. If you had a clean sheet of paper and
asked would we do it differently, the answer probably would be yes. As those
two collide, it will be interesting to watch."

And that's really what users want; they don't care about what technology their
voice services are based on, they just want the services, Bender says. That
requirement can scale from caller ID to 911 all the way up to centrex, he adds.
Also, VOIP needs to be as easy as standard PSTN voice services-or it
should make those services easier. Where IPConnect is concerned, it can
provide fundamental voice services, such as letting users reach 911 without
having to dial other numbers, and can provide potentially international centrex
services that extend far beyond the physical, geographic limits of PSTN-based
centrex.

QUALITY IS THE KEY

Another key component to Internet telephony success is quality. VOIP quality
has grown by leaps and bounds, especially if you consider that the ham
radio-like quality of early PC-to-PC Internet telephony marked the
technology's consumer birth only two or three years ago. But widespread,
business and residential, phone-to-phone VOIP is a different matter. The
quality has to be there.

For GTE this has meant heavy investment into research and development,
partnering with the right companies and building a backbone that can provide
PSTN/near-PSTN voice quality for Internet telephony. Quality of service
(QoS), in terms of network classes of service (like those associated with
asynchronous transfer mode) and in terms of the user's subjective experience,
has to be there for VOIP to succeed, Wiora says.

"We need to make sure that connection meets customers' expectations from
end to end," he adds.

To manage those expectations, carriers must manage their network latency,
because delays in voice conversations just won't work. A jitter here, a pause
there and users will hang up their IP phones. The whole network-from the
caller to the recipient-needs to be taken under consideration. What carriers
can't control-such as the public Internet, or a bad end-user device-will need
some over-compensation on the service provider's part.

"You need to build a budget for latency for each component in the connection,"
Wiora says. "Then work within that budget to deliver service."

Moreover, that budget has to scale. Of all the gateway-based Internet
telephony network services being offered, the idea of scaling to millions of
users may not scale to such an architecture. "Our approach is to go to market
with a network that understands what it takes to provide quality," Wiora says.
"You've got to understand how the 10 millionth customer will impact the
network."

That means management. The gateway systems that were developed were
mostly developed for the corporate market. To handle the hundreds of millions
of users that carrier-class VOIP would mean, ITSPs have to be able to
manage to that scale and ensure that they are meeting the quality levels they
offer. To do that Delta Three developed its own tools in-house, says Elie
Wurtman, president and CEO of ITSP Delta Three Inc. (New York).

That management grows more complex as ITSPs interconnect networks. The
range in VOIP network approaches (from compression to service tiers and so
on) affect Internet telephony interconnection. This again provides ITSPs with a
tough management challenge, Wurtman says.

CHANGING LANDSCAPE

As ITSPs learn to deal with scaling to meet a mushrooming market, one thing is
certain for Internet telephony; the business of providing it won't stay the same.
The current VOIP landscape as a means of international tariff arbitrage can't
last forever. While cheap long distance is attractive, VOIP will be a true
success once it reaches widescale deployment with a range of services to rival
that of the PSTN. Will that happen? "I really do believe IP telephones will be
ubiquitous," Bender says.

Ubiquity has its price, though. Widescale VOIP services means that the
regulatory climate will most likely change. While this won't be a big change for
service providers like GTE, which already deal the FCC and state public utility
commissions (PUCs) on a regular basis, smaller alternative providers, such as
ITSPs will have to dance to a new tune. Currently, in the United States, the
FCC and PUCs pretty much leave ITSPs alone.

Internet telephony providers don't pay large access fees to connect with other
networks fees like standard telcos do, and their cost to provide service is
significantly lower. (Bender estimates a call without access fees costs about one
cent to provide.) But if Internet telephony service usage grows large enough,
such growth might warrant regulatory bodies to reconsider hands-off practices.

Moreover, if ITSPs eventually must behave like regular telcos, the whole
question of access agreements must be addressed, Wiora says. To operate in
the telecom space, ITSPs will have to build out their customer care systems
and network management and operations support systems (OSS) so that they
interconnect and interoperate with other carrier-traditional telcos or
otherwise-so that they can share network information, report faults and
exchange customers in a reasonable fashion.

Does this mean that ITSPs will have to incorporate electronic bonding-the
complex and costly methodology by which the FCC and the 1996 Telecom
Act have mandated that wireline carriers exchange network and customer
information? That question, as well as the issue of access fees, will most likely
go unanswered, as regulators have yet to assess the potential market
implications of Internet telephony. Eventually, VOIP regulation will be handed
down, Bender says.

"What is uncertain is where the decision-making is taking place," Wiora says.
"Who has the final say-so."

July 15, 1998 table of contents

Copyright 1998 Advanstar Communications. Please send any technical comments or
questions to the America's Network webmaster.




To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:38:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
Chinese Net users reach 1.175 million

sjmercury.com

Posted at 6:56 a.m. PDT Monday, July 13, 1998

BEIJING, July 13 (Reuters) - The number of Internet surfers in
China swelled to 1.175 million at the end of June from 505,000 at
the beginning of this year, the China Economic Times said on
Monday.

The number of computers wired to the global computer network
rose 64 percent from the beginning of this year to 542,000 by
end-June, the newspaper said, quoting a report by the China
Internet Network Information Centre.

Of the total users, 92.8 percent were male, 83.2 percent were
below 35 years old and 58.9 percent had bachelor's degrees, it
said.

Nearly 41 percent of surfers spent more than 10 hours a week on
the Internet, while 26.7 percent spent five to 10 hours a week, it
said.

The report also showed that 88.9 percent of users complained of
slow connections and 61.2 percent said on-line fees were too
expensive.

Some 45.5 percent thought that there was not enough
Chinese-language information on the Internet, it said, without
giving further details.

Only a small fraction of China's 1.2 billion people have access to
the Internet, but growth in use has been explosive, and industry
analysts say the number of surfers could reach 7.0 million by
2001.





To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:42:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
Dial-up ISDN is a dedicated alternative. Always On/Dynamic ISDN is gearing up for prime time; more products, support coming [ASND reference]

nwfusion.com

By Tim Greene
Network World, 7/6/98

It's been a year since vendors announced
support for technology that promises more
efficient use of ISDN capabilities, and products
are starting to appear.

Always-On/Dynamic ISDN (AO/DI) lets users
send low-bandwidth packet data over the ISDN
signaling band known as the D channel. The D
channel can carry up to 16K bit/sec worth of
data, and is always available to set up and tear
down calls, but uses only a fraction of that
bandwidth when it does. About 9.6K bit/sec of
the channel can be used to send packet data.
Because most telephone company pricing
structures do not include charges for D channel
use, the D channel can be an inexpensive way to
link remote users to corporate sites. Ascend
Communications, Inc., this fall will add AO/DI
support to its MAX line of remote access
switches. That follows the lead of Cisco
Systems, Inc., which issued AO/DI software for
its ISDN access gear two months ago, Adtran,
Inc., which announced AO/DI support last week
and Eicon Technology, Inc. which also has
AO/DI gear.

Ascend and Cisco make a majority of the dial-up
access gear used by ISPs, which would offer
AO/DI services.
In all about 15 vendors have
committed to AO/DI support, and an
interoperability bake off is scheduled for
October, according to Deepak Kamlani,
executive director of the Vendors' ISDN
Association.

Using AO/DI, ISPs could offer customers
permanent links to the Internet so e-mail would
download directly into the customer's computer
without the user having to dial in for it.

While Internet access is the most commonly
talked about use of AO/DI, some corporate
users have devised other applications for the
technology.

For example, the 288-store eyeglass chain
Frame-n-Lens, Inc., is testing an AO/DI network
in California that will save the company $1 million
per year by improving manufacturing efficiency,
reducing use of 800 numbers for customer
service and eliminating some jobs.

Frame-n-Lens will use only the D channel of
ISDN Basic Rate Interface lines, ignoring the
two 64K bit/sec dial-up B channels also
available on a BRI, according to Robert
Banghart, director of MIS for Frame-n-Lens.
That costs $69 to $80 a month per store, he
said, far less than a frame relay or dedicated data
service line would cost.

Using AO/DI, eyeglass orders will be uploaded
continuously throughout the day from thin clients
in each store rather than once at night over
analog dial-up lines. The link will also give stores
access to customer records and insurance
information that can streamline customer service
and cut the number of voice toll calls to
headquarters, he said.

Contact Senior
Editor Tim Greene

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To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:45:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
China to Open Telecom, Postal Markets to Overseas Investors

nikkeibp.asiabiztech.com

July 13, 1998
(BEIJING) --

China's new
Ministry of
Information Industry
(MII) plans to
gradually open the
country's
telecommunications
and postal market
to the outside
world.
MII will set up 13
departments,
according to a
recent
reorganization plan.
The ministry intends
to separate the
telecom sector from
the postal sector, to
allow China to open
its postal market.

"China will open all
kinds of postal
services, except for
the letter sector, in
the next few years,"
said Liu Liqing,
director of the State
Postal Service
Bureau.

He added that
China has already
opened express
mail and other
services to overseas
investors.

The telecom
equipment business
has become one of
the most open and
competitive markets
in China, said Wu
Jichuan of MII.

For example, a
tenth of Motorola
Inc.'s global sales
are in China, and
Siemens AG
expects to have
annual sales of 1.5
billion marks in
China by 2000.

China imported
nearly US$6 billion
worth of electronic
and telecom
equipment in 1997.
And the nation
spent RMB124.5
billion (US$15
billion) to upgrade
its telecom and
postal infrastructure
in that year.

The country's
spending in the
telecom and postal
sectors is expected
to exceed RMB150
billion this year,
while business in
those sectors is
projected to grow
28 percent.

(Xinhua News
Agency)

Copyright c 1997-98

Nikkei BP BizTech, Inc.

All Rights Reserved.

Updated: Sat Jul 11 21:11:39 1998




To: djane who wrote (50189)7/20/1998 1:50:00 AM
From: djane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
V.90-Based Modems On The Way [ASND reference]

sumnet.com

From the Systems pages of Electronic News: July 13, 1998 Issue

Peripherals

New protocol, due for ratification, can resolve K56flex, x2 standoff

By Cynthia Bournellis

San Jose, Calif.--The dog days of summer may be here, but the season's activities are anything
but lethargic in the modem market, as the rollout of V.90-based modems begins at Internet
service provider operations.

Established by the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) in February, V.90 is a new
protocol for 56 kilobit-per-second analog modems. Previously, there were two competing,
proprietary, de facto standards--K56flex (from Rockwell International) and x2 (from 3Com/U.S.
Robotics). The V.90 standard, which provides very specific methods and techniques for
communicating at up to 56K, is under review by the ITU and is scheduled for ratification in
September. It will lay to rest the long-term battle over the two existing protocols. However, there
are some performances differences between products based on these two solutions. A V.90
Work Group was formed earlier this year to ensure interoperability between V.90 products. But
for the most part, the industry agrees that the turbulence surrounding this issue has subsided.

The acceptance of 56K is primarily coming from larger Internet service providers (ISPs) and is
being supported by central site equipment makers, such as Ascend Communications, Cisco
Systems, Livingston Enterprises and 3Com. Many vendors either have or will soon release new
code that allows ISP ports to be V.90-compatible, so that ISPs won't have to decide whether to
deploy x2 or K56flex central site equipment. America Online, the Microsoft Network and
UUNet Technologies all have begun to upgrade their networks to V.90. For instance, AOL
claims that 80 percent of its network of 700,000 modems is 56K-compatible. And 700 ISPs
now have V.90 technologies in place based on remote access products from 3Com. Earthlink
Networks, in a partnership with WorldCom's UUNet unit, has V.90 in more than 700 points of
presence, totaling 300,000 network ports. Once this is done, users can receive flash upgrades
from OEMs to allow their x2 or K56flex modems to run V.90.

Companies more likely to hold off on V.90 upgrades are smaller ISPs, whose infrastructures
were built around older, slower technologies, such as V.34 (33.6kbps). Many of these ISPs have
to make heavy investments to go from V.34 to V.90, replacing old modems with new ones and
adding T1 connections--whereas larger ISPs have deeper pockets and can afford the luxury of
upgrading their existing state-of-the-art networks to V.90 through software. Because of financial
considerations, "some smaller ISPs will sell themselves to bigger ones who can buy their customer
base," said Will Strauss, an analyst at Forward Concepts in Tempe, Ariz.

V.90 is also getting support from computer companies. Gateway is one of the first OEMs that will
begin shipping V.90 modems with its digital media computer systems and Solo notebooks by the
end of August. Gateway is also upgrading its Internet service to the new communications
standard.

The past year has been a turbulent one for the modem industry. Many vendors suffered severe
losses in 1Q98 as they transitioned from 33.6kbps to 56K, and the confusion from users over
which technology to buy--K56flex or x2--kept product purchases at bay. Meanwhile, a glut of
modems hit the market, driving down prices. Fingers were pointed at U.S. Robotics, as
competitors filed lawsuits alleging that USR deliberately dumped product into the channel to
inflate the value of the company as it was being sold to 3Com. In previous written statements,
3Com had responded by stating that its inventory problems had been resolved. "You'll see us
concerned about managing inventories...as new technologies come out, we'll remain more
focused," said Rich Hartwig, senior product manager of the client access business at 3Com, in a
recent interview with Electronic News.

Today, some vendors are still recovering from the inventory spill. "User inventory isn't fully under
control, and it has taken us one year to bring excess inventory in the distribution channels to
manageable levels," said Henricus Cox, VP of marketing at Boca Research. Boca was one
company that took a big hit in revenue in 1997. It reported a 54 percent decrease in sales for the
year, attributing much of that to the issues mentioned above.

What more can be said about the analog modem business? It continues to remain a business of
high volumes, low margins. And while technologies keep improving and products are faster,
margins keep thinning and will continue to do so as major factors, such as the build-to-order
models among computer and other systems OEMs, force suppliers to hang onto inventories.
Modem prices will continue to do what they've always done: plummet. Pricing on 56K products
has already crashed, as average selling prices this past year were cut in half, from $200 to $100.

While V.90 is the fastest and the last analog modem standard, it is predicted to lengthen the life
expectancy of 56K products to roughly eight years. With that said, what lies ahead for modem
makers? The flurry of activity arising on the digital communications front is a clear indicator that
vendors can no longer rest on their analog laurels. Survival of the fittest has become the mindset of
many OEMs, as they reassemble their troops to conquer newer opportunities and technologies.

Somewhere between 56K and beyond lies a number of new options. In the short-term, the most
obvious are asymmetrical digital subscriber line (aDSL) and cable modems, two other competing
platforms analysts expect will take over when 56K winds down. Most vendors have announced
plans to support aDSL, as services to corporations and homes have starting to unwind. In a race
with aDSL are cable modems. Vendors such as Hayes Corp. recently announced plans to
expand its cable modem operation through OEM partnerships, such as Bay Networks, and other
sales channels. And last month's AT&T/TCI merger agreement (EN, July 6) could significantly
jump-start this market.

Companies such as Boca, which acquired the modem business of Global Village Communications
(EN, April 13), is looking more and more to the Internet to grow its revenues. Boca is working
on Internet access devices--thin clients and set-top boxes with Ethernet cards, not modems. "We
have a product that is compatible to the WebTV model, but we've chosen not to compete with
WebTV," said Mr. Cox, referring to the company's sub-$400 BocaVision set-top box. Unlike
WebTV, Boca's Vision, which will be sold via retail, will not force users to use a specified ISP,
Mr. Cox said. Meanwhile, on the corporate side, Boca believes that network computing is a
promising model going forward and is where the company will sell thin clients. Looking at the
future, Mr. Cox says a new modem market will emerge for wireless devices based on the Internet
protocol. "The Internet is pervasive outside the home, not in it. The only thing that talks IP to me
(in the home) is my PC. We see other devices outside the home that will need to be linked
together, such as a car that can communicate with a set-top box controller in the home."

"Soft" modems are another area into which companies are dumping R&D funds. And soft
modems could kill the hardware modem business; they sit on the motherboard and get their
power from the microprocessor. Soft modems aren't a huge threat yet, but they are out there.
More than 3 million have sold to date, according to market research firm In-Stat.