Here's another one:
July 12, 1998, Issue: 798 Section: Systems Assembly
Partnering For A Common Cause -- Contract manufacturers, distributors unite Warren S. Hersch
New York -- As Ingram Micro Inc. and Solectron Corp. forge ahead with their channel assembly agreement, industry observers now expect other channel distributors and contract manufacturers will enter into similar alliances. Still, some question the long-term viability and business fundamentals of such arrangements.
Such partnerships let channel distributors quickly boost manufacturing capacity without spending on new plant and equipment, said market watchers. These alliances allow the channel to leverage contract manufacturers' efficiencies gained from economies of scale, a key factor that has fueled the industry's rise.
"There's a lot of copying behavior in this industry," said Charlie Mullen, senior industry consultant for Technology Forecasters Inc., Alameda, Calif. "It wouldn't surprise me if other large contract manufacturers and distributors pursue partnerships."
"We can expect more of these alliances within the supply chain," said Charles Smulders, senior industry analyst for the distribution channel at Dataquest, a San Jose, Calif.-based market-research firm.
The agreement between Ingram Micro, Santa Ana, Calif., and Milpitas, Calif.-based Solectron, unveiled June 15, combines Ingram Micro's Memphis, Tenn., and Netherlands-based channel assembly plants with nine Solectron manufacturing centers worldwide to do final PC assembly under Ingram Micro's Frameworks program.
How quickly other contract manufacturers and channel distributors jump onto the Ingram Micro-Solectron bandwagon, and whether such alliances can last, is being hotly debated.
Representatives at contract manufacturers Avex Electronics Inc. and Flextronics International Ltd. said they view the deal positively, believing it to be a natural progression of the industry's expanding focus.
"We see merit in such alliances and continue to evaluate them," said Larry Hanlon, Avex's director of marketing.
Other major contract manufacturers were unavailable for comment. But one source close to the industry, who requested anonymity, said such alliances lack the necessary incentives. "We've talked to a number of channel companies," he said. "But we haven't found a way to make [such deals] work. You can't make money doing it."
Some analysts agreed with that assessment. Dataquest's Smulders said margins in the manufacturing distribution businesses, which are already slim, will be reduced even further by revenue-sharing under such alliances.
Jim Savage, financial analyst with New York-based investment banker Alex Brown, concurred, adding that such partnerships might increase manufacturing costs by creating redundancies in inventory.
"I'm not sure that deals like Ingram [Micro]-Solectron make sense," he said.
Industry observers said if and when additional partnerships are established, they likely will be limited to the major contract manufacturers: SCI Systems Inc., Jabil Circuit Inc., Celestica Inc., Avex and Flextronics. The 30-plus small-and midsize players-most of which generate less than $500 million in revenue-lack the resources and worldwide assembly capabilities to match the channel's manufacturing requirements, said experts.
In the long term, build-to-order manufacturing by the computer maker or contract manufacturer likely will replace or reduce the channel's direct role in assembly, leaving channel companies to do distribution and/or systems integration, said some analysts and industry executives.
In Ingram Micro's case, this might happen if, say, Solectron acquires Ingram Micro's Memphis and Netherlands configuration centers.
"Ultimately, I don't believe channel assembly of branded products will be very important in the scheme of things," said Smulders. "We're probably going to see a consolidation of channel assembly sites. There are too many out there now to make sense from a cost standpoint," he added.
Technology Forecasters projects that contract-manufacturing revenue will increase to $178 billion in 2001 from $89.6- billion in 1998, representing a 25 percent compounded annual growth rate. Computer-related equipment, including PCs, computer peripherals, workstations, servers and mainframes, will account for approximately 30 percent of the totals.
Underpinning that growth is a steady rise in the number and types of products that contract manufacturers assemble, a step that many an OEM customer previously handled, said experts.
For example, IBM Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. have since 1992 and 1995, respectively, outsourced manufacturing of their printed circuit boards to Solectron, which acquired assembly divisions of the PC makers for that purpose.
The industry also has grown by offering new services. Since the 1970s, many of the largest contract manufacturers have expanded from core manufacturing to providing product design and development, packaging consulting, distribution, logistics and support services.
"What [these new services] allow our customers to do is to focus on their core competencies," said Mark Holman, Solectron's director of marketing and business development. "For the PC makers, that would include primarily marketing and interfacing with the channel, plus some R&D and engineering." |