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Strategies & Market Trends : Three Amigos Stock Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Patric who wrote (6954)7/19/1998 9:19:00 PM
From: Ken W  Respond to of 29382
 
Patric,

"My gut is hopelessly incompentent"

Don't sell your gut short (pun intended) The reasons that I feel the way I do about SYBS is that I watch trading very closely. When SYBS first broke out of the 7 range it did so on large volume without a retest of the breakout, frankly, it did not have time. Once over 9 it did dip back to 8 and change for one day. I saw that as profit taking from the 7 level. That same day it bounced off of 8 hard on large volume again. I take that as a new support level. Prior resistance was at 10 1/2. SYBS hit the 10 1/2 wall hard on Fri. and finished the day at 10 1/16.

So 8 is the support I would look for and 10 would be my new sell point. I plan on watching the stock, to comfirm my plan, at least once.
If I get in a bit higher than 8 on the first go around, then that's okay. If it goes again, great. I have played a couple of stock this way for over a year now. NOVL did it for close to a year between 6 and 8 then broke out.

My feeling on why a stock rolls is simple boredom from investors that got in and the stock did not move enough or fast enough for them so they get out. This must be accompanied by no news, strong support and strong resistance. The market sets the price on stocks as we know when there is nothing to cause demand. Once we see the range that the market set we can play inside of that range just like they do. Time is the key to rolling stock Pat. 7 to 11 weeks seems to be about the time limit as it is between earnings announcements.

Hope all of this gibberish helps

Ken W



To: Patric who wrote (6954)7/19/1998 11:55:00 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29382
 
SYBS,as a trading stock I won't comment on,as I have not studied it,but I do say here that I would advise anyone AGAINST going long on Sybase--
this is just my opinion,and unfortunately I am unable to give my reasons for saying this.Max90