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To: Lucky Lady who wrote (14679)7/19/1998 3:54:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116764
 
U.s. Bonds Hang On Greenspan Testimony, Choice Of Japanese Prime
Minister
U.S. Bonds Hang on Greenspan, New Japan Leader: Rates of Return (Repeats
story that originally appeared Friday.)

New York, July 19 (Bloomberg) -- The fate of the U.S. bond market this
week lies with two men: Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and
whomever Japan's ruling party names as prime minister.

Greenspan could move the market Tuesday with his semiannual testimony to
Congress on the economy and interest rates. Later in the week, on
Friday, results of a battle for leadership of Japan's ruling Liberal
Democratic Party -- and the post of prime minister -- may spur bond
trading by giving investors clues to the pace and extent of reforms in
Japan.

The 1 3/4-point decline in 30-year Treasury bonds last week, the biggest
in more than six months, came as many investors worried that Greenspan's
comments or the selection of Seiroku Kajiyama -- a supporter of banking
reform -- in Japan may lead to further bond losses. Others are betting
that Greenspan will cheer investors, and that Japan's highest post will
go to Keizo Obuchi, who is not expected to show much enthusiasm for
sweeping reforms that could revive the world's second-largest economy.
''The bond market looks good,'' said Ned Riley, chief investment officer
at BankBoston, which oversees $30 billion. ''I would suspect that
Greenspan's testimony is going to be upbeat, while problems in Asia
aren't going to disappear regardless of what fiscal measures are taken
in Japan.''

Bad Week

Riley's optimism follows the biggest weekly drop in bonds since
February. The 1 3/4-point slide in 30-year bonds, or $17.50 per $1,000
bond, lifted its yield about 12 points to 5.74 percent.

Since June 30, the 30-year benchmark Treasury bond's yield is up about
11 basis points. Its total return so far this month, measuring its price
drop and accrued interest, is down 1.3 percent, a sharp reversal from
the 7.1 percent gain in the first half.

The trigger for bonds' losses last week was a falling dollar. The U.S.
currency dropped against the yen amid speculation that a new Japanese
prime minister will take steps to stimulate the ailing Japanese economy
and reform its banking system. Ryutaro Hashimoto resigned as prime
minister last week after his party suffered big losses in elections.
''The market's focused on what is or is not going to happen in Tokyo,''
said George Adell, trader at Philadelphia-based Starboard Capital
Markets Inc. ''We're doing the Japanese routine

bloomberg.com@@4A6XZAYAUdlSXFeB/news2.cgi?T=news2_ft_topww.ht&s=556197852



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (14679)7/19/1998 4:26:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116764
 
I do not know about Japan, but China has been consistent (and certainly no less ambitious)

Chinese Gold Output Climbs

BEIJING (AP) -- China's gold output has soared this year, making it
likely the country will haul in 200 tons of the precious metal by year's
end.

Wang Dexue, head of the government's Gold Management Bureau, told a
seminar recently that gold output rose more than 28 percent in the first
five months of the year, the official Economic Daily reported Saturday.

Although no figure was given for the January-to-May haul, the Economic
Daily reported that the government took in more than 166 tons last year.

Wang attributed the higher yield to lower world market prices for gold.
Narrower profit margins crimped the black market, and miners, smelters
and people, fearful of further price drops, sold more gold to the
government as required by law.

biz.yahoo.com



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (14679)7/19/1998 5:06:00 PM
From: Amelia Carhartt  Respond to of 116764
 
Lucky:

I absolutely believe that is exactly what is going to happen.