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Strategies & Market Trends : Investment in Russia and Eastern Europe -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob Shilling who wrote (360)7/20/1998 3:41:00 AM
From: djane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1301
 
Yeltsin Signs Land-Tax Decree To Secure International Aid [Info on strong interest in Eurobond placement]

interactive.wsj.com

By MATTHEW BRZEZINSKI, July 20, 1998
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

MOSCOW -- Rebuffed by Russian lawmakers, President Boris Yeltsin
Sunday signed a decree raising land taxes, part of an "anti-crisis" program
the government had promised to implement to secure a $22.6 billion
assistance package led by the International Monetary Fund.

The IMF board meets Monday in Washington to decide whether to
release a first tranche of around $5.6 billion to help Russia out of its
financial hole. The severity of the country's financial crisis was highlighted
by the release Friday by the State Statistical Bureau of new figures
showing a 0.5% decline in gross domestic product in the first six months of
the year -- weaker than the 0.2% contraction over the year through May.

Before breaking for summer holidays Friday, the Communist-dominated
lower house of parliament, the Duma, approved a sales tax and several
other reforms in a special three-day sitting last week. But lawmakers
rejected the land tax and a raft of other proposals.

Austerity Plan

The stonewalling has effectively left the government of Prime Minister
Sergei Kiriyenko with the burden of enacting most of the austerity plan
needed to put Russia's fiscal house back in order.

Mr. Kiriyenko estimated Saturday that reforms approved by the Duma
would provide only around a quarter of the sum desired by the
government to satisfy the IMF. He said they would represent $4.5 billion
out of $16.5 billion in new tax revenue and budget cuts desired by the
government. Mr. Kiriyenko said it was distressing that the measures
passed by parliament largely benefit regional budgets, and raise only $480
million in additional funds for the Kremlin.

"Unfortunately ... this means we'll have to solve some of our problems by
decree," said Mr. Kiriyenko, referring to President Yeltsin's constitutional
right to enact measures without parliament's consent. The IMF has said it
will accept this method of circumventing the Duma.

Messrs. Yeltsin and Kiriyenko will now have to push through over $6
billion in spending cuts in Russia's already gaping and torn welfare net.
They also will have to push through contentious income-tax reforms.

Tax on Imported Goods

The young prime minister wasted no time over the weekend in starting to
raise extra money on his own. Saturday, he introduced a 3% tax on all
imported goods. Armed with a presidential decree, Mr. Kiriyenko also
moved to consolidate the government's control over revenues from the
cash-rich alcohol industry.

Still, it was unclear if the steps will be sufficient to prod the IMF to give
Russia a first payment of $5.6 billion this week. Fund representatives in
Moscow have declined to comment ahead of the IMF board meeting
Monday. Russia's chief debt negotiator, Anatoly Chubais, is scheduled to
fly to Washington Monday to plead Russia's case before the board. He is
also expected to meet with U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin and his
deputy for international affairs, Lawrence Summers.


Russian stocks continued their IMF-fueled rally. The benchmark Russian
Trading System Index climbed 6.6% Friday to finish the week up 31%
since the announcement of an international rescue package for Russia last
Monday.

The Kremlin should get a clearer picture of investor confidence Monday,
as it launches what is expected to be the biggest international offering in
Russia's postCommunist history.

Lead manager Goldman, Sachs & Co. is expected Monday to announce
the result of Russia's debt-restructuring program. The plan allows investors
to exchange a minimum of $2 billion in ruble-denominated Treasurys,
better known as GKOs, for dollar-denominated Eurobonds with maturities
of seven and 20 years. Russia wants to retire as much short-term domestic
debt as possible to avoid a repeat of its current cash-crunch.

Traders in New York and London said investors were so excited about
the Eurobond bond placement that a gray market for it has already
developed.
The bond has yet to be priced, but it will offer an interest rate
of at least 8.375% above yields paid on U.S. Treasurys, according to
early indications from syndicate officials. The total value of the Eurobond
debt-swap is expected to range from $4 billion to as much as $8 billion,
traders said.

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