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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: R Stevens who wrote (775)7/21/1998 7:20:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3339
 
There is a software that does it. IRL (Investor's Reference Library). It was developed by Ian Woodward. Below is the text for the Help for IRL describing High Jump Indicator.

Ian Woodward's High Jump Indicator

To evaluate when a market index, an industry group or a stock is getting over-extended (or under-extended) from a technical standpoint, Ian Woodward* uses his High Jump indicator.

The analogy is this: Just as a high P-E (which is at the outer limits of the historic range) is a warning sign to the fundamentalists and value investors that a stock is overbought or oversold, the peak values of the High Jump indicator are cautionary points of over-extendedness to technicians and high growth stock investors. The indicator is called "High Jump" because its value lies in depicting the previous occasions in which a security has extended itself to peak values as measured from the high price to the 17 Day Moving Average, plus the 50 Day Moving Average, plus the 200 Day Moving Average. Added together, these respective percentage distances equal the High Jump Indicator value. Peak values represent the red caution flags when a stock or an index is obviously over-extended and due for a correction.

He has a web site sosadvisors.com where he describes the concepts he uses and publishes a newsletter. He also has a free forum at wallstreetcity.com. If you select the "Talk" section at the top of the home page. It will take you to the forums front page, where there are only two forums: High Growth Stocks Forum (by Woodward) and Cyber-Investing. It is free to register and participate.

I believe he formerly used MetaStock to calculate this indicator for individual stocks and indexes.



To: R Stevens who wrote (775)7/22/1998 9:10:00 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3339
 
RS, I'm using a Simple 200 day MA, (like I said before, sometimes we need to get back to the basics, K.I.S.S. and all that). I'm sure the exponential would probably work about as well. Not really that much difference in the indicator definition that Les' High Jump.

NOTE: The +15% indicator works much better on broad indexes than on individual stocks or narrow indexes like the DJI. I've seen stocks (like AMZN) stay over +15 for months and months.

Looking for "buy the dippers" to move into the LIQUIDS this AM- then the real pros will start stepping in and selling. Going to short the rallies on NSCP.

TW