SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PaulM who wrote (14815)7/22/1998 8:55:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116815
 
Gold To Remain In IMF Reserves

IMF Unlikely To Sell Significant Amount

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the world's second largest holder
of gold reserves, is highly unlikely to sell a significant amount of its
gold in the immediate future, it is claimed in a report published today.

In a wide-ranging study entitled the ''IMF and Gold,'' Dick Ware, of the
Center for Public Policy Studies of the World Gold Council, says that
although gold no longer has an official role within the international
monetary system, it continues to serve an important function in
underpinning the IMF's financial strength. Among other things the
presence of gold on the IMF's balance sheet provides reassurance to
countries whose currencies are used in fund lending operations.

The IMF currently holds 3,217 tons of gold, worth $31 billion at a price
of $300 an oz. This is about 10% of the gold held in the official sector
and around 2.5% of the total stock of gold worldwide. ''What the IMF
does with its gold is clearly of vital interest to anyone with a stake
in the gold market -- miners, trades, manufacturers and consumers,''
said Ware.

The fund is no longer permitted to buy gold and its options, therefore,
are limited to selling some or all of it or simply ''sitting on it.''
There have been suggestions that the IMF should sell its gold, but they
have failed, with limited exceptions, to gain the necessary support of
the membership, since an 85% majority is needed for any sale of the
fund's gold.

''It has remained the majority view that it is better for the fund to
preserve its gold against unknown contingencies rather than sell it to
invest the proceeds elsewhere,'' said Ware. ''International monetary
officials are often more comfortable if they have something tangible
with which to confront any unforeseen crisis. Gold provides such real
support.''

''Certainly this moment, there is little prospect of the fund's
membership, as reflected in the Board of Executive Directors, agreeing
to an outright sale of the majority of the fund's gold. There are enough
important members who hold gold in their national reserves - and see the
good reasons for doing so - to prevent this happening,'' said Ware.

The fund is still considering the possibility to sell a small amount of
the fund's gold - up to five million ounces - to help with the debt
reduction plan for the world's poorest countries; and another proposal
to sell up to three million ounces of gold to cover late or defaulting
loan repayments to the fund's Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility
(ESAF).

These potential sales have been agreed to in theory by the membership,
but it is by no means certain that they will happen in practice.

Fund members would undoubtedly be concerned at the prospect of similar
operations continuing, with the ultimate possibility of the fund being
left with no gold at all. There are significant reasons why gold remains
important to the fund. Piecemeal initiatives which continually eat into
the stock will undermine its fundamental raison d'etre.

Ware added that it was important to be clear about the positive reasons
for the fund continuing to maintain its existing stock of gold.

''An underlying factor to bear in mind - one which has a direct bearing
on any fund member which holds gold in its national reserves - is that
fund sales could affect the value of others' outstanding holdings. But
it goes beyond that, since the price of gold - influenced by any
significant market operations - will affect the viability of the gold
mining industry in those countries which mine it,'' Ware said.

''Although the major producers are mainly developed countries, there are
a number of countries with small producers by world standards, which are
nevertheless important in terms of the country's income and employment.
Any actions taken by the fund which might be detrimental to the gold
price could therefore have an impact on the economies of a number of its
members. Highly unlikely though it may be, at the extreme a fall in the
gold price could be the last straw which forced a country to approach
the fund for resources,'' Ware added.

Gold is held by the fund at the old official price of SDR35 to the ounce
($42.22) and is therefore a significantly undervalued asset on the
fund's balance sheet, and consequently the fund's financial position is
stronger than it appears. Gold adds a ''fundamental strength'' to the
balance sheet which may be important in years to come.

''As has been seen frequently in recent years, the nature and extent of
financial shocks are unknowable. Although they have tended to equate to
problems in individual (large) countries, it is not beyond the bounds of
possibility that in future they might involve the whole system. In such
an instance, the fact that the fund owns gold could become an important
factor in the equation.''

''Difficult though it may be to forsee at the moment, who knows what a
future international exchange rate system might comprise?'' Ware asked.

Note:

The IMF and Gold - Research Study no. 20, is one of a series of reports
published by the World Gold Council on a number of wide-ranging issues
of importance to the international gold market and all those involved in
it. Copies of this report and of a full list of other reports are
available from the WGC, 444 Madison Ave., Ste. 301, New York, NY 10022.
Telephone 212/317-3848.

The World Gold Council is an international organization formed and
funded by leading gold mining companies from around the world to
increase the demand for gold. The countries served by the Council
account for approximately 80% of global gold demand.

biz.yahoo.com



To: PaulM who wrote (14815)7/23/1998 2:52:00 AM
From: paul ross  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116815
 
Yes, Prechter has predicted 5 of the last 2 bear markets. Is he still looking for a $175 bottom in gold and 25 on the XAU?