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To: Gabriel008 who wrote (53395)7/23/1998 10:42:00 AM
From: jbn3  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Earnings Estimates

Gabriel,

Looks like excellent work! Just a reminder, though: from what I've seen, DELL is engaged in the most massive building program in the industry. I'm not sure how those charges/expenses will reflect.

Regards, 3.



To: Gabriel008 who wrote (53395)7/23/1998 11:56:00 AM
From: Dennis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Bravo, great analysis.



To: Gabriel008 who wrote (53395)7/23/1998 2:14:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Gabriel, thanks for a well thought out analysis. However, I think operating expenses may be higher than you anticipate. My reason for thinking this is the heightened advertising campaign. Also, as new manufacturing plants come on line you may see some erosion of gross margin because initially those plants will be operating at less than capacity and many plant overhead items are fixed. As production ramps up gross margins should increase.

TTFN,
CTC



To: Gabriel008 who wrote (53395)7/23/1998 3:21:00 PM
From: jim kelley  Respond to of 176387
 
Gabriel,

I'll respond later today with input on your analysis.
I think GTW is due to report ACB so that should provide some clues on the consumer business strength.

Regards,

Jim Kelley



To: Gabriel008 who wrote (53395)7/24/1998 12:39:00 AM
From: jim kelley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Gabriel,

Your analysis is conservative and I agree it should be based on experience last quarter. Some comments:

ASP is probably only down < 2.4 % which GTW reported.
DELL should be somewhat better than GTW due to product mix.
However, if consumer sales are great this could change the ASP downward. I expect no adverse affects on margin.

Margins should be up due to the all new product mix.

Unit Sales may be up more than expected due to the success of their consumer sales. Reports have this doing extremely well since the modification of their lease program. But again due to slower sales in May it is best to be conservative in these estimates.