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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jurgis Bekepuris who wrote (4457)7/23/1998 2:48:00 PM
From: Wallace Rivers  Respond to of 78702
 
Said they will make only .25 for the year according to my info. So that's a high PE for essentially negative growth. Use the clubs, love 'em. However, here is the bear case:
Adams, Orlimar, and others are not only taking market share, but causing prices, thus margins to plummet.
Japan (30% of ELY sales) sales are down significantly.
Golf ball introduction may be in jeopardy.
This is definitely one "dead cat" trading at approx 1.7 X book and 1 X sales.
JMHO about a company whose product I love.



To: Jurgis Bekepuris who wrote (4457)7/23/1998 2:57:00 PM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78702
 
Re: ELY,ASYT, WWW

I take another look at ELY every so often. Those inventories and
AR numbers are just atrocious. The PE will expand as earnings
crumble, and, like Nike, is another case of 3-4 boom years
the may or may not be repeated. Too much risk for me, a la Nike.

I took a small position in ASYT today when it hit 13 again.
There's a DLJ reiteration of market perform with drastically
reduced estimates.

A shoe company that I would keep an eye on is Wolverine
World Wide (WWW). It's been in a freefall since announcing
earnings a few days ago. Wolverine is more of a "behind-the-scenes"
brand, and may have more reproducible success than some of its
shoe/apparel industry cohorts. I see great business economics
in its cobranding strategies.

Good investing,
Mike