SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IceShark who wrote (11578)7/23/1998 5:21:00 PM
From: Floyd D. Schneider  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Amazon.fool Delivers. you will lose all your money longs

Subject: AMZN
Date: Thu, Jul 23, 1998 16:16 EDT
From: Rev Shark
Message-id: <1998072320161800.QAA24819@ladder01.news.aol.com>

<<Amazon.Com Inc (AMZN)
Retail - Misc / Diversified : 0 new highs in group of 87

Last Time Change %Change High Low Volume
---- ---- ------ ------- ---- --- ------
130 1/2 1:04PM -3 1/2 -2.61% 138 1/2 129 3,039,400

Recommendation ........................ Short
Made at ............................... 131 1/8
Made on ............................... Jul 23 1998
How it's panning out .................. 0.48

Potential double-top. Stochastic is coming out of overbought. It looks
like Amazon's retest of the recent high of 140 is not going to
penetrate. Amazon went straight to 140 from 40 like it was a one-off
on a checklist. Selling brought it back to 100. Buying brought it back
above 140, but Amazon was only in record high territory for a couple
of hours before it backed off.

MACD Histogram reflects this. There is a massive hump above the center
line, formed during the 40-140 one-off run-up. The fade in prices in
early July to 100 brought that hump back below the centerline. The
recent run-up back to test the old high resulted in a very small hump
over the centerline.

This defines a bearish MACD Histogram divergence. Prices are higher
but the hump underneath prices is smaller. This phenomenon is
described by Elder in "Trading For A Living" as "the strongest signal
in technical analysis."

Elder then goes on to say: "When prices rally to a new high, but
MACD-Histogram traces a lower top, it creates a bearish divergence. A
lower top in MACD-Histogram shows that bulls are internally weak even
though prices are higher. Bearish divergences between MACD-Histogram
and prices identify weakness at market tops."

As such, I see prices resting here for a while. After all is done and
said, and all the earnings are out and digested, is it correction time
for the Internet group? In the least, it would appear to be an
appropriate juncture for a bit of a pause here.

There are still some corks popping. ZAP is popping, CNWK is somewhat
popping, and PSIX is definitively popping. But I also hear some gears
grinding. It's like hitting the gas and the brake pedals at the same
time.

Internet stocks do not conform very well to hard and fast rules.
Nonetheless, purchasing shares at this time carries risk. The stock is
technically weak.
>