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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (22203)7/23/1998 10:54:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
But note today they were not down as much as the SPX or the OEX

Jim, I did note that and that is the very reason I feel that there is now money moving out of this market. They held while all the other indices have been steadily loosing issues to the 200 DMA Gremlin! The NF got hit pretty good today.

I asked the question because I knew you already had the answer and have many times stated that this was what happening! :-))

The analysis only re-invented the "James Hopkins Wheel" or confirmed that it was round! :-)

Monty



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (22203)7/23/1998 11:27:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Jim, new one I am trying to see if it will work. Generally when the
indicator is > .90 it is Bearish and <.90 Bullish.

SP500 S&P 500 OEX OEX
DATE Indicator %Change $Change %Change $Change

09/02/97 0.943 3.12% $28.10 3.38% $14.67
09/03/97 0.982 0.03% $0.30 0.07% $0.31
09/04/97 0.997 0.32% $3.00 0.40% $1.81
09/05/97 1.012 -0.19% ($1.80) -0.12% ($0.53)
09/08/97 1.077 0.23% $2.10 0.24% $1.07
09/09/97 1.077 0.26% $2.40 0.29% $1.30
09/10/97 1.096 -1.56% ($14.60)-1.62% ($7.33)
09/11/97 1.102 -0.70% ($6.40) -0.68% ($3.04)
09/12/97 1.015 1.24% $11.30 1.07% $4.74
09/15/97 1.019 -0.44% ($4.10) -0.75% ($3.34)
09/16/97 1.057 2.80% $25.80 2.64% $11.70
09/17/97 1.058 -0.27% ($2.60) -0.10% ($0.46)
09/18/97 1.071 0.46% $4.30 0.24% $1.09
09/19/97 0.995 0.34% $3.20 0.39% $1.77
09/22/97 0.958 0.52% $4.90 0.59% $2.70
09/23/97 0.974 -0.37% ($3.50) -0.23% ($1.07)
09/24/97 0.976 -0.78% ($7.40) -0.78% ($3.59)
09/25/97 0.974 -0.70% ($6.60) -0.72% ($3.30)
09/26/97 0.967 0.78% $7.30 0.85% $3.84
09/29/97 0.922 0.86% $8.10 0.89% $4.05
09/30/97 0.967 -0.63% ($6.00) -0.86% ($3.94)
10/01/97 0.959 0.86% $8.10 0.85% $3.87
10/02/97 0.975 0.53% $5.10 0.40% $1.85
10/03/97 1.023 0.47% $4.50 0.31% $1.46
10/06/97 1.029 0.80% $7.70 0.69% $3.20
10/07/97 0.986 1.07% $10.40 1.26% $5.88
10/08/97 0.939 -0.95% ($9.30) -0.79% ($3.73)
10/09/97 0.888 -0.33% ($3.20) -0.38% ($1.78)
10/10/97 0.879 -0.37% ($3.60) -0.50% ($2.32)
10/13/97 0.906 0.11% $1.10 0.17% $0.79
10/14/97 0.876 0.23% $2.20 -0.02% ($0.09)
10/15/97 0.869 -0.47% ($4.60) -0.69% ($3.22)
10/16/97 0.916 -1.08% ($10.40)-1.23% ($5.71)
10/17/97 0.923 -1.16% ($11.10)-1.02% ($4.65)
10/20/97 0.915 1.21% $11.40 1.22% $5.51
10/21/97 0.883 1.75% $16.70 1.88% $8.59
10/22/97 0.921 -0.39% ($3.80) -0.53% ($2.46)
10/23/97 1.026 -1.84% ($17.80)-2.12% ($9.85)
10/24/97 1.106 -0.96% ($9.10) -1.31% ($5.96)
10/27/97 1.132 -6.86% ($64.60)-6.85% ($30.70)
10/28/97 1.305 5.05% $44.30 5.77% $24.08
10/29/97 1.337 -0.23% ($2.10) -0.44% ($1.95)
10/30/97 1.353 -1.69% ($15.50)-1.89% ($8.33)
10/31/97 1.299 1.21% $10.90 1.23% $5.31
11/03/97 1.264 2.67% $24.40 2.70% $11.80
11/04/97 1.296 0.19% $1.80 0.02% $0.09
11/05/97 1.270 0.21% $2.00 0.02% $0.10
11/06/97 1.224 -0.51% ($4.80) -0.47% ($2.12)
11/07/97 1.179 -1.12% ($10.50)-0.96% ($4.29)
11/10/97 1.156 -0.69% ($6.40) -0.79% ($3.51)
11/11/97 1.051 0.29% $2.70 0.38% $1.67
11/12/97 1.037 -1.93% ($17.80)-1.86% ($8.18)
11/13/97 0.913 1.18% $10.70 1.39% $6.03
11/14/97 0.923 1.28% $11.70 1.35% $5.90
11/17/97 0.931 1.92% $17.80 1.98% $8.81
11/18/97 0.985 -0.85% ($8.00) -0.78% ($3.56)
11/19/97 0.994 0.68% $6.40 0.80% $3.57
11/20/97 0.919 1.52% $14.40 1.51% $6.83
11/21/97 0.863 0.43% $4.10 0.79% $3.64
11/24/97 0.856 -1.70% ($16.40)-1.91% ($8.84)
11/25/97 0.853 0.43% $4.10 0.54% $2.44
11/26/97 0.851 0.08% $0.80 -0.02% ($0.07)
11/28/97 0.877 0.40% $3.80 0.46% $2.08
12/01/97 0.889 2.03% $19.40 1.97% $9.04
12/02/97 0.944 -0.32% ($3.10) -0.43% ($1.99)
12/03/97 0.917 0.52% $5.10 0.44% $2.05
12/04/97 0.955 -0.38% ($3.70) -0.15% ($0.68)
12/05/97 0.976 1.10% $10.70 1.29% $6.01
12/08/97 1.024 -0.14% ($1.40) -0.22% ($1.04)
12/09/97 1.023 -0.67% ($6.60) -1.00% ($4.74)
12/10/97 1.072 -0.61% ($6.00) -0.56% ($2.63)
12/11/97 1.098 -1.54% ($14.90)-1.79% ($8.33)
12/12/97 1.137 -0.16% ($1.50) -0.47% ($2.15)
12/15/97 1.146 1.05% $10.00 1.15% $5.22
12/16/97 1.112 0.48% $4.60 0.61% $2.79
12/17/97 1.106 -0.26% ($2.50) -0.46% ($2.15)
12/18/97 1.107 -1.06% ($10.20)-1.30% ($5.98)
12/19/97 1.190 -0.89% ($8.50) -0.88% ($3.99)
12/22/97 1.173 0.73% $6.90 0.73% $3.28
12/23/97 1.213 -1.53% ($14.60)-1.89% ($8.56)
12/24/97 1.205 -0.68% ($6.40) -0.61% ($2.71)
12/26/97 1.182 0.41% $3.80 0.59% $2.59
12/29/97 1.117 1.80% $16.90 1.77% $7.89
12/30/97 1.088 1.83% $17.40 1.83% $8.31

12/31/97 1.098 -0.04% ($0.40) -0.30% ($1.39)
01/02/98 1.105 0.47% $4.60 0.71% $3.27
01/05/98 1.060 0.22% $2.10 0.01% $0.03
01/06/98 1.042 -1.07% ($10.50)-1.21% ($5.60)
01/07/98 1.059 -0.27% ($2.60) -0.24% ($1.11)
01/08/98 1.047 -0.83% ($8.00) -0.78% ($3.58)
01/09/98 1.193 -2.96% ($28.30)-2.97% ($13.44)
01/12/98 1.117 1.24% $11.50 1.38% $6.05
01/13/98 1.076 1.37% $12.90 1.22% $5.43
01/14/98 1.078 0.61% $5.80 0.67% $3.00
01/15/98 1.091 -0.75% ($7.20) -0.69% ($3.11)
01/16/98 1.032 1.14% $10.80 1.15% $5.17
01/20/98 0.981 1.78% $17.10 1.93% $8.80
01/21/98 0.946 -0.80% ($7.80) -0.84% ($3.92)
01/22/98 0.983 -0.80% ($7.80) -0.80% ($3.70)
01/23/98 0.968 -0.56% ($5.40) -0.47% ($2.16)
01/26/98 0.881 -0.06% ($0.60) 0.16% $0.71
01/27/98 0.889 1.25% $12.00 1.33% $6.08
01/28/98 0.916 0.88% $8.50 1.16% $5.37
01/29/98 0.887 0.82% $8.00 0.89% $4.15
01/30/98 0.886 -0.53% ($5.20) -0.55% ($2.59)
02/02/98 0.860 2.14% $21.00 2.17% $10.15
02/03/98 0.869 0.47% $4.70 0.39% $1.88
02/04/98 0.854 0.09% $0.90 0.11% $0.51
02/05/98 0.843 -0.34% ($3.40) -0.32% ($1.53)
02/06/98 0.823 0.90% $9.00 0.82% $3.94
02/09/98 0.819 -0.18% ($1.80) -0.23% ($1.13)
02/10/98 0.814 0.82% $8.30 0.97% $4.66
02/11/98 0.819 0.10% $1.00 0.21% $1.01
02/12/98 0.829 0.40% $4.10 0.45% $2.21
02/13/98 0.818 -0.39% ($4.00) -0.35% ($1.73)
02/17/98 0.884 0.26% $2.70 0.18% $0.88
02/18/98 0.868 0.91% $9.30 0.92% $4.49
02/19/98 0.903 -0.37% ($3.80) -0.36% ($1.80)
02/20/98 0.875 0.57% $5.90 0.48% $2.37
02/23/98 0.887 0.38% $3.90 0.51% $2.50
02/24/98 0.922 -0.72% ($7.50) -0.68% ($3.39)
02/25/98 0.932 1.19% $12.30 1.26% $6.23
02/26/98 0.895 0.56% $5.80 0.30% $1.48
02/27/98 0.906 0.06% $0.60 0.08% $0.41
03/02/98 0.914 -0.15% ($1.60) -0.22% ($1.09)
03/03/98 0.892 0.41% $4.30 0.56% $2.82
03/04/98 0.930 -0.45% ($4.70) -0.53% ($2.67)
03/05/98 0.926 -1.17% ($12.30)-1.57% ($7.85)
03/06/98 0.902 2.00% $20.70 1.96% $9.65
03/09/98 0.920 -0.32% ($3.40) -0.38% ($1.91)
03/10/98 0.865 1.14% $12.00 1.01% $5.06
03/11/98 0.864 0.39% $4.20 0.35% $1.78
03/12/98 0.865 0.13% $1.40 0.25% $1.27
03/13/98 0.869 -0.12% ($1.30) -0.10% ($0.53)
03/16/98 0.852 1.00% $10.70 1.00% $5.11
03/17/98 0.876 0.11% $1.20 0.17% $0.88
03/18/98 0.857 0.46% $5.00 0.66% $3.42
03/19/98 0.847 0.39% $4.20 0.36% $1.84
03/20/98 0.853 0.87% $9.50 1.06% $5.51
03/23/98 0.814 -0.33% ($3.60) -0.57% ($3.02)
03/24/98 0.829 0.92% $10.10 1.01% $5.29
03/25/98 0.855 -0.34% ($3.80) 0.06% $0.31
03/26/98 0.801 -0.10% ($1.10) -0.04% ($0.20)
03/27/98 0.803 -0.49% ($5.40) -0.46% ($2.42)
03/30/98 0.801 -0.16% ($1.80) 0.05% $0.26
03/31/98 0.817 0.75% $8.20 0.66% $3.47
04/01/98 0.836 0.58% $6.40 0.76% $4.02
04/02/98 0.816 1.06% $11.80 0.93% $4.93
04/03/98 0.828 0.24% $2.70 0.17% $0.91
04/06/98 0.847 -0.12% ($1.30) -0.40% ($2.14)
04/07/98 0.891 -1.05% ($11.80)-0.75% ($4.02)
04/08/98 0.877 -0.71% ($7.90) -0.80% ($4.25)
04/09/98 0.959 0.82% $9.00 0.92% $4.84
04/13/98 0.951 -0.09% ($1.00) 0.10% $0.53
04/14/98 0.929 0.55% $6.10 0.52% $2.78
04/15/98 0.877 0.31% $3.50 0.66% $3.54
04/16/98 0.921 -0.99% ($11.10)-0.75% ($4.06)
04/17/98 0.908 1.31% $14.50 1.28% $6.88
04/20/98 0.904 0.09% $1.00 -0.06% ($0.35)
04/21/98 0.896 0.23% $2.60 0.26% $1.43
04/22/98 0.852 0.33% $3.70 0.41% $2.23
04/23/98 0.851 -0.92% ($10.40)-0.92% ($5.03)
04/24/98 0.862 -1.05% ($11.70)-1.11% ($5.98)
04/27/98 0.871 -1.93% ($21.40)-1.73% ($9.26)
04/28/98 0.908 -0.13% ($1.40) -0.31% ($1.63)
04/29/98 0.929 0.88% $9.50 0.83% $4.37
04/30/98 0.896 1.57% $17.20 1.48% $7.83
05/01/98 0.921 0.83% $9.20 0.93% $4.99
05/04/98 0.922 0.10% $1.10 0.07% $0.38
05/05/98 0.918 -0.57% ($6.40) -0.53% ($2.88)
05/06/98 0.953 -0.97% ($10.80)-0.85% ($4.58)
05/07/98 0.956 -0.89% ($9.80) -1.01% ($5.39)
05/08/98 0.921 1.19% $13.00 1.31% $6.94
05/11/98 0.902 -0.14% ($1.50) -0.01% ($0.05)
05/12/98 0.850 0.83% $9.20 0.99% $5.28
05/13/98 0.857 0.28% $3.10 0.45% $2.41
05/14/98 0.869 -0.13% ($1.50) -0.07% ($0.39)
05/15/98 0.924 -0.78% ($8.70) -0.87% ($4.74)
05/18/98 0.944 -0.26% ($2.90) -0.57% ($3.08)
05/19/98 0.956 0.33% $3.70 0.29% $1.54
05/20/98 0.914 0.87% $9.60 1.02% $5.45
05/21/98 0.931 -0.40% ($4.50) -0.46% ($2.51)
05/22/98 0.956 -0.37% ($4.10) -0.15% ($0.82)
05/26/98 0.991 -1.49% ($16.50)-1.42% ($7.66)
05/27/98 1.017 -0.16% ($1.80) 0.12% $0.63
05/28/98 1.028 0.49% $5.40 0.38% $2.04
05/29/98 1.092 -0.62% ($6.80) -0.94% ($5.00)
06/01/98 1.045 0.02% $0.20 -0.23% ($1.23)
06/02/98 1.054 0.20% $2.20 0.17% $0.90
06/03/98 1.087 -0.96% ($10.50)-1.06% ($5.61)
06/04/98 1.074 1.12% $12.10 1.44% $7.55
06/05/98 0.996 1.74% $19.10 1.72% $9.13
06/08/98 0.987 0.16% $1.82 0.14% $0.74
06/09/98 0.925 0.24% $2.69 0.28% $1.51
06/10/98 0.944 -0.55% ($6.13) -0.41% ($2.23)
06/11/98 0.981 -1.59% ($17.70)-1.48% ($7.97)
06/12/98 0.901 0.39% $4.26 0.52% $2.76
06/15/98 0.938 -1.99% ($21.83)-2.19% ($11.72)
06/16/98 0.911 0.98% $10.58 1.06% $5.52
06/17/98 0.842 1.79% $19.52 1.72% $9.08
06/18/98 0.845 -0.07% ($0.74) -0.08% ($0.45)
06/19/98 0.893 -0.52% ($5.72) -0.29% ($1.54)
06/22/98 0.884 0.27% $3.01 0.11% $0.60
06/23/98 0.870 1.44% $15.84 1.78% $9.55
06/24/98 0.844 1.20% $13.38 1.38% $7.52
06/25/98 0.819 -0.32% ($3.63) -0.45% ($2.51)
06/26/98 0.854 0.35% $3.95 0.44% $2.45
06/29/98 0.824 0.47% $5.29 0.81% $4.50
06/30/98 0.855 -0.41% ($4.65) -0.54% ($3.03)
07/01/98 0.870 1.30% $14.72 1.09% $6.04
07/02/98 0.897 -0.20% ($2.25) -0.22% ($1.22)
07/06/98 0.859 1.02% $11.66 0.79% $4.44
07/07/98 0.897 -0.34% ($3.91) -0.09% ($0.53)
07/08/98 0.916 1.07% $12.32 1.14% $6.43
07/09/98 0.968 -0.65% ($7.63) -0.68% ($3.87)
07/10/98 0.948 0.45% $5.25 0.43% $2.45
07/13/98 0.927 0.13% $1.56 0.29% $1.67
07/14/98 0.903 1.05% $12.22 1.10% $6.27
07/15/98 0.901 -0.28% ($3.25) -0.10% ($0.55)
07/16/98 0.904 0.81% $9.53 0.63% $3.64
07/17/98 0.883 0.19% $2.28 0.30% $1.73
07/20/98 0.893 -0.17% ($2.06) -0.46% ($2.65)
07/21/98 0.888 -1.61% ($19.09)-1.69% ($9.75)
07/22/98 0.933 -0.08% ($0.97) -0.23% ($1.28)
07/23/98 0.822 -2.14% ($24.88)-1.95% ($11.09)

The % and $ for the SPX and OEX is the CHANGE. When first looking
at it, it appears to give the signal AFTER the fact. You need to
look at several days before reacting (buying or selling) which
makes it a longer term indicator and will work best in a trending
market. The best way is to copy & paste into a spreadsheet.

Monty



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