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Technology Stocks : Egghead Computer (EGGS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Philipp who wrote (2102)7/24/1998 5:13:00 PM
From: David Brooks  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8307
 
DOES ANYBODY KNOW THE EXACT DATE OF THE NEXT EARNINGS REPORT???

I HAVE HEARD 28TH, BUT CALLED EGGHEAD I.R. AND THE RECORDING SAID THE 30TH?

PLEASE HELP



To: Philipp who wrote (2102)7/25/1998 6:35:00 AM
From: Philipp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8307
 
Does anyone on this thread actually really know anything about
this company? Playing TA, chart games is one thing, but at
earnings time some FA would be useful. Statements like "it
will fall like a rock after earnings" just reflect the same
bearish bias that has fueled all those other speculative
runs. In that context, I am really surprised how well AMZN
has kept up since earnings and, in particular, yesterday. Is there
some hidden strength or is it just a flash?

I have to admit that this is the company I know the least about
of all companies I have ever held a position in (well two opposite
positions now).

Some relevant/useful info I just collected for my own information
from the WSJ briefing book, SI profile and others:

three websites
sales 1998: 293.1 Million; year on year: -18.7% (863 M in 1995!)
employees: 337

revenues (Millions; last four quarters): 56.20 63.30 99.10 74.50

ongoing operations for last quarter: 30.5 M

earnings per share (last four quarters): $ -0.21 -0.24 -0.29 -1.51

net loss in last quarter: -35.9 M
without charges, income adjustments: -6.8 M

shares outstanding increased from 17.6 to 23.1 million (!?)

price to book: 1.53
price to sales (from SI): 1.9 (but this includes sales from
previous era as bricks-and-mortar store,
about 4 if only ongoing operations
included)

sixth most visited commercial website (really?)
income from auction website rose to 13.7 M in present quarter from
7 M in previous quarter (29 M in first year of
operation)
number of registered bidders increased from 29000 (9/1997) to
168000 (6/1998)

company cautions that growth in other two websites is not
comparable

from previous earnings: marketing alliances with CNET, YAHOO!,
GeoCities, USA.net
list of email addresses: 1.6M
plans to develop revenue and customer base by heavy marketing,
expects substantial operating losses for the foreseeable future
cash position: 67 M

Some of the comparisons will be difficult, since one has to
take out EGGS previous history as a bricks-and-mortar company.
There is a lot of room for spin and dubious accounting.
I guess, one is really looking for the same sort of things as
with AMZN.

- growth of revenue from ongoing operations (comparison
number: 30.5 M)
- comparison of the three websites
- increase of customer base, repeat customers; how do they
hold up with the increased competition?
- new marketing alliances
- cash position
- operating loss/sales

To me there seems to be a lot of positive and negative potential.
For example, the revenue on the other two websites could actually
be falling (the company put out a caution!). But it could
also show some intrinsic strength and it is still highly
undervalued compared to AMZN.

I would appreciate some SERIOUS discussion (not like on the AMZN
thread: "I know it will go bankrupt in a few years").

Neutral at the moment, but assessing.

Cheers,

Phil