To: Marc Newman who wrote (15970 ) 7/26/1998 1:47:00 PM From: Scott Crumley Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213177
To all: It's been mighty quiet on this thread for the last couple of days, so I thought I'd break the silence. The lack of posts is understandable, given that Apple is at one of those points between major news days (i.e., earnings and the iMac launch). But given that we're in a market correction, that may not have seen bottom yet, I'd be interested in hearing the opinions of those contributors that watch the market short term, before the Monday morning bell. I thought this might be of interest to those people that are considering increasing their position after the recent pull back, as well as those that held through July 16th. Though I don't consider myself a technical trader, I do try to pay attention to technical signals (within the scope of my limited understanding). A recent post pointed to a link that provided an ongoing Elliot wave analysis of AAPL that has proved quite accurate in recent times. Their most recent success was to call a move of AAPL from ~25 around June 1 to ~38 on July 16. They missed by pennies. Their current projection called for AAPL to fall to 33-35 within the week after earnings, to be followed by a fast run into the mid to high 40's. So far, they're on the money.elkvalley.net Any comments? I, like many, am very positive about AAPL after the iMac launch. I'm expecting to see an aggressive TV ad, coupled with intense promotion from the likes of CompUSA. Within 2 weeks of the iMac launch, we'll have Steve Jobs at Seybold, where I anticipate an announcement of some kind, such as new desktops. From that point, announcements of iMac sales and back to school could carry us to the Q4 announcement, which I am betting will be positive. As you may have guessed, I see AAPL as a news driven stock. Though timing AAPL by the news has been a successful method for me in the last 2 years, it can be argued that AAPL has basically followed the market in recent months. And we do have 2 1/2 weeks until the iMac launch in an uncertain market. All comments are appreciated. Scott