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To: wizzards wine who wrote (152)7/26/1998 6:07:00 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Respond to of 389
 
Hi Preston. RS reversal to O's and trend to negative (BSL touch with sell signal) are good sell signals. I guess we should also sell anything that ValueLine downgrades. I'll think about sector sells.
Good method of naming the portfolio.

later



To: wizzards wine who wrote (152)7/26/1998 7:26:00 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 389
 
Big Picture - These stocks are Value Line 1 & 2 ,
RS in X, have BSL and last signal a Buy. (Previous group was on
a buy also. I forgot to mention it). This list is sorted by
1) Sector Bullish Percent 2) Group 3) Ticker

If there is a "1" in the flag column, it meets your growth/PE criteria.

The first twenty stocks with flag =1 are thus "VL1&2MF1JULY98"

In order to gauge the effect of the PE and Growth attributes, we
can create a second 20 stock portfolio that simply takes the first
twenty stocks listed below. The one problem with that approach is
that the control group would be overweighted with healthcare stocks.
Here's what we will do - The control group can only have three stocks
from the same sector. IDXX, OCR etc would thus be eliminated from
the control group. If there is an "X" after the BP number,
that stock is eliminated because its sector has used up it's
three picks.

flag Comp tick BG let GR stat BP

1 Amgen AMGN biom Bear Confirmed 32
Biogen BGEN biom Bear Confirmed 32
Vitesse Sem VTSS semi Bull Alert 32
Becton, Di BDX heal Bear Confirmed 34
Biomet BMET heal Bear Confirmed 34
Health Ma HMA heal Bear Confirmed 34
Idexx Labs IDXX heal Bear Confirmed 34x
1 Omnicare OCR heal Bear Confirmed 34x
1 Patterson d PDCO heal Bear Confirmed 34x
Safeskin SFSK heal Bear Confirmed 34x
Shared Med SMS heal Bear Confirmed 34x
Carnival Cr CCL leis Bear Confirmed 34
1 Harley David HDI leis Bear Confirmed 34
1 Royal Cari RCL leis Bear Confirmed 34
E G & G in EGG elec Bull Alert 36
1 Oak Industr OAK elec Bull Alert 36
Powergren PWG elec Bull Alert 36
1 Solectron SLR elec Bull Alert 36x
Owens Illi OI chem Bear Confirmed 38
Kaydon Corp KDN meta Bear Confirmed 38
Allied waste AWIN wast Bull Correction 40
1 Waste Manag WMI wast Bull Correction 40
Pittway Cor PRYA prot Bear Confirmed 42
Tyco Intern TYC prot Bear Confirmed 42
Alliance AC tran Bear Confirmed 42
J B Hunt JBHT tran Bear Confirmed 42

****** 20 stocks above (minus the x's) make up the control group.

Sea Cont SCR.A tran Bear Confirmed 42
Apollo gro APOL busi Bull Correction 44
1 Equifax EFX busi Bull Correction 44
I T T Educa ESI busi Bull Correction 44
Office Dep ODP busi Bull Correction 44x
1 Robert Half RHI busi Bull Correction 44x
Staples SPLS busi Bull Correction 44x
Apple Comp AAPL comp Bull Confirmed 44
Analogic ALOG comp Bull Confirmed 44
A O L AOL comp Bull Confirmed 44
1 Cenidian CEN comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Cerner Corp CERN comp Bull Confirmed 44x
1 EMC Corp EMC comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Fiserv FISV comp Bull Confirmed 44x
FORE Sys FORE comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Lexmark LXK comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Nat'l Comp NLCS comp Bull Confirmed 44x
SPS Trans PAY comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Policy Man PMS comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Sungard Da SDS comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Storeage T STK comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Tandy corp TAN comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Unisys UIS comp Bull Confirmed 44x
Forest Lab FRX drug Bear Correction 44
Mylan Labs MYL drug Bear Correction 44
Roberts Ph RPC drug Bear Correction 44
Schering Pl SGP drug Bear Correction 44x
Warner-Lam WLA drug Bear Correction 44x
Watson Ph WPI drug Bear Correction 44x
B M C Soft BMCS soft Bull Confirmed 44
Microsoft MSFT soft Bull Confirmed 44
Learning C TLC soft Bull Confirmed 44
Asa Holdi ASAI aero Bear Alert 46
Sundstrand SNS aero Bear Alert 46
1 AutoZone AZO auto Bear Confirmed 46
Aptar group ATR hous Bear Confirmed 46
1 Best Buy BBY hous Bear Confirmed 46
Centex CTX hous Bear Confirmed 46
Helen of T HELE hous Bear Confirmed 46x
Leggett&Pl LEG hous Bear Confirmed 46x
Lazy Boy LZB hous Bear Confirmed 46x
1 Black & D BDK mach Bear Confirmed 46
1 Danaher DHR mach Bear Confirmed 46
Dycom Ind DY mach Bear Confirmed 46
Emerson EMR mach Bear Confirmed 46x
Gerber Sci GRB mach Bear Confirmed 46x
Ingersol R IR mach Bear Confirmed 46x
JLG Indus JLG mach Bear Confirmed 46x
1 A D C Te ADCT tele Bear Correction 46
Alcatel Als ALA tele Bear Correction 46
1 AitTouch ATI tele Bear Correction 46
1 Century Tel CTL tele Bear Correction 46x
Cable & Wir CWP tele Bear Correction 46x
1 Ericsson ERICY tele Bear Correction 46x

****ERICY makes 20*******

More thoughts to follow. I want to get this off before
something happens to my computer.



To: wizzards wine who wrote (152)7/26/1998 7:40:00 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Respond to of 389
 
The difference between VL1&2MF1JULY9 and the control group is
the growth/PE criteria. The trade off is that the VL1&2MF1JULY98
group must drop down further on the BP, or sector risk, to find candidates. Let me know about any adjustments you want to make
before we freeze the design.

later (after I get back from the store!)



To: wizzards wine who wrote (152)7/27/1998 8:28:00 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 389
 
Hi Preston. My notes are excellent. I'll post them after I'm
done breaking out the portfolios.
This is $100K invested in "VL1&2MF1JULY98"

tick close #shares value
AMGN 74 9/16 67.058 $ 5000
OCR 38 11/16 129.241 $ 5000
PDCO 35 1/8 142.349 $ 5000
HDI 40 125.000 $ 5000
RCL 75 9/16 66.170 $ 5000
OAK 37 1/2 133.333 $ 5000
SLR 48 13/16 102.433 $ 5000
WMI 53 15/16 92.700 $ 5000
EFX 41 1/8 121.581 $ 5000
RHI 54 1/2 91.743 $ 5000
CEN 57 3/4 86.580 $ 5000
EMC 50 9/16 98.888 $ 5000
AZO 34 3/4 143.885 $ 5000
BBY 48 13/16 102.433 $ 5000
BDK 58 1/2 85.470 $ 5000
DHR 44 9/16 112.202 $ 5000
ADCT 33 5/8 148.699 $ 5000
ATI 64 1/16 78.049 $ 5000
CTL 48 5/8 102.828 $ 5000
ERICY 27 9/16 181.406 $ 5000

Control group to follow.
BTW, this is great timing with the OPTI reversing down.
We may get a clue as to the defensive attributes of the
growth/PE formula. S&P 500 closed at 1147.27 7/27/98.

Later my friend

duke60