To: waverider who wrote (26605 ) 7/28/1998 7:47:00 AM From: marc chatman Respond to of 95453
Of course there will be some selling in FGII today. As with several of the other plays in the sector, some traders have probably accumulated FGII as an earnings play. If FGII goes up, they take profits. If not, they cut and run. Where will FGII end up today? Who the hell knows? A few people seem to feel yesterday was a positive for the sector. I still don't see it. The DJIA was up big. The NASDAQ made a huge recovery. Yet the OSX saw almost no rebound after tanking 10% in the previous 2 days. I wouldn't even call yesterday a deadcat bounce. The only things interesting about yesterday are, first, that we did not see the liquidation-type drops which we saw last week, and second, that some of the trading was on the long side. Obviously many traders didn't have the courage (or the death wish) to hold overnight, which is why we saw a last minute pullback. One final point. You've got to love that Cramer. He actually gets paid for something which looks as though it was written during a taxi ride downtown. OK, he may be right that the sector won't recover for a year (heck, it may be 3 years). And he is almost certainly correct that there will be tax loss selling (probably has been already). But Cosmo -- really -- predicting that a recovery next summer will be fostered by a favorable environment for earnings comparisons?!! Have you been reading the same earnings reports as I have? Most of the stocks I follow have just reported record earnings. And yes, I must complement you on your call that the death spiral last week was due to fund liquidation. But didn't CNBC report that at least twice last week?