To: Saul Feinberg Jr. who wrote (9605 ) 7/28/1998 12:00:00 PM From: JMandel Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42804
Another key time for one of my infrequent posts. As one being influential in moving millions of shares in (& out) of MRVC since June of 1994, I may be able to shed some light on where we've been, and where we are. With hundreds of places to put funds to work every day which quickly yield large returns, it has been foolhardy to park money in MRV for the past year. I am still a believer, more than ever, in their strategic technology choices. Logic, however, has dictated to buy MRV on fundamentals and sell on technicals. There has been a clear cycle of MRV's growth v stock price. Apathy reigns until once again the tension between MRV's multiple and prevailing multiples forces another upward leg. The general trend in contracting networking expectations (other than CSCO & LU) has kept us in a ~20 pt. trading range. Conditions are ripe for this to change. MRV's new product lines are significant, and should propel them firmly into the mid-cap range. I anticipate the rapid evolution of their WDM technology and continuing integration of optical layers with traditional routing & switching. I insisted a few months ago that CSCO would HAVE to take out CIEN to navigate its battle with LU. I was wrong about the acquirer, but after the TLAB deal, others echoed my view that CSCO missed the boat. MRV is completing a strategy which will make it too strategic a buy to ignore. I trust that when the day arrives, the boys will put aside their competitive scorn, and do what is best for themselves, and shareholders. Finally, on this fraud nonsense. As someone with an EE/entrepreneurial background, I can confidently state that a company that consistently demonstrates its pride in visible innovation and successful deployment does not fit the profile.