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Biotech / Medical : Cistron Biotechnology(CIST)$.30 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Phil Cressman who wrote (1308)	7/30/1998 10:11:00 AM
From: Zvi Yammer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2742

How much is Mammoth?? IMHO, if flu vaccine prices can be brought down by boosting the effectiveness of the serum to a level cheap enough for third world countries then I would estimate that within 5 years, there would be in excess of 500 million vaccines administerd yealy. Let us not forget that the first "baby boomers" are in their 50's now many septa and octa genarians are living longer and longer. Health care is increasing worldwide and China's "bird flue" scare will be a wake up call. On top of this if IL-1b has the ability to increase vaccine effectiveness then the potential application can be for Billions of injections yearly. With this partnership CIST might not need to even increase its mfgr. facilities as this can be done by Roche. In this scenario we're looking at revenues 5-7 years out of 100 million and a stock price of $35-$40. In the shorter term as the milestones are reached we can see the stock move up to the $1-$2 range over the next year $5.00 in 2-3 years and then in years 3-5 move up based on revenues. With 500 million injections spewing off royalties and 20 cents per we can easily reach 100 million in sales. So my lomg range time frame is 5-7 years and my target price is $35.00 I might be out of my mind, but right now I'm buying 48 cents in cash for 30 cents so why not take the chance. Of course if the results of the Flu study are reported to be as succesful as the dental study well then you'll need to disregard all of the above!!!