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To: polarisnh who wrote (13974)7/29/1998 9:14:00 PM
From: Tech Watcher  Respond to of 25814
 
*** OT for Steve **

Sorry to clog the thread with too many off topic posts.

Steve, the laws of probability say that 5 chances at the 1 in 80,000,000 would be:

1/80M + 1/80M + 1/80M + 1/80M + 1/80M = 5/80M = 1/16M

A good example to see this clearly is if you buy 40,000,000 tickets, you have purchased half of all possible combinations so your odds are:

1/80M added up 40M times or 40M/80M or 1 in 2 chance.

Your example would be 80M-40M = 40M. If you purchase 40M tickets you can intuitively see you would have better than a 1 in 40M chance. As a statistical event you would have a 50% chance of winning. There are 2 equal size pools of numbers. Half the numbers you win, half the numbers you lose.

- Tech Watcher