IBD article. HP Uses Its Muscle, Clout To Storm Network Arena [No ASND reference. HP coming after COMS.]
Date: 7/30/98 Author: Michele Hostetler
Printer and PC heavyweight Hewlett-Packard Co. is muscling into the networking gear market by knocking down prices.
The Palo Alto, Calif.-based computer giant made its boldest move in networking thus far on July 20 when it slashed prices 30% to $99 per connection on a new line of equipment known as 1 0/100 Ethernet switches. A connection is a device that connects a single computer into a network.
''We've broken the $100 barrier,'' said Gary McAnally, general manager of HP's workgroup networks division. ''We have many more aggressive moves planned and targeted right behind it.''
Just three years ago, HP wasn't even in the network switching game. Now it's trying to move swiftly to gain share. The scenario is reminiscent of HP's quick strike into personal computers earlier this decade, when the company made a sharp move and now stands third among PC makers.
HP has aimed its networking push at switches, which speed up networks by adding an extra lane for data to travel on. HP plans to release a steady stream of switching products this year, McAnally says.
It's a good time for HP to stake a claim, analysts say. The networking industry is in the middle of a shake-up, and the players are changing. It's no longer just Cisco Systems Inc., 3Com Corp. and Bay Networks Inc.
''It's clearly a time of rapid change and rapid evolution in the marketplace,'' McAnally said. ''That evolution is really where we've been focusing.''
HP has set its sights on 3Com's domain of high-volume products. 3Com was the leader in Ethernet switches last year, according to The Dell'Oro Group Inc., a Portola Valley, Calif.-based market researcher. 3Com had 21.8% of the $1.9 billion market, while HP had a 3.3% share.
3Com can fend off HP, says Doug Spreng, senior vice president for 3Com's network connection products.
''HP is a good company,'' said Spreng, who worked at HP for 23 years. ''But they're not a networking company.''
While HP's savvy in the PC and printer markets could translate well into networking, it's no guarantee for success, analysts say. The company warned investors on July 21 that lagging sales in the U.S., Europe and Asia will pinch third-quarter profits.
And HP isn't alone in its networking pursuit. Compaq Computer Corp. and Intel Corp. also are stepping up their networking plays this year.
Telecom titans Lucent Technology Inc. and Northern Telecom Ltd. want a piece of the data-networking market. Nortel is buying Bay in a stock deal worth roughly $7 billion. Lucent has been on a buying spree of data- networking companies.
HP is well behind 3Com, Cisco and Bay. HP didn't enter the Ethernet switch market in '95, when most of the players were making their moves.
''We're coming into the 1 0/100 switch market a little late, so we have some ground to catch up,'' McAnally said. ''We want to double and triple our current position.''
If anything, the HP name will be its biggest asset in the catch-up game, says John Armstrong, analyst at San Jose, Calif.-based Dataquest Inc.
''They have excellent cachet,'' Armstrong said. ''I think all of these networking companies have to sit up and pay attention to what's going on with HP.''
HP's price advantage on the 1 0/100 Ethernet switch could give it a leg up. Switching prices for its competitors are hovering around $140 per connection, although they have plummeted from $1,000 since '95.
HP will continue to drive down prices, McAnally says.
''As you look going out over the rest of this year and next, you'll see significant reductions continuing,'' McAnally said. ''It is moving into a price war. That's one of the reasons why we're excited here. We've lived through that with PCs and printers. We believe that HP understands how to play in this space.''
Although several analysts say the price decreases are a natural part of the maturing industry and not a price war, the cuts could help HP. ''If a start-up comes up with this price point, customers will wonder if they'll still be in business,'' said David Dines, analyst with Boston-based market researcher Aberdeen Group Inc. ''But with HP, they sit up and say, 'We should check it out.' ''
That may not be enough, because customers still might want to opt for a traditional networking gear maker, Dines adds.
''The fact that you have low price and high performance doesn't guarantee success,'' he said. ''The challenge is getting mind share that they are a networking company. They've been in the networking business, but they haven't been considered a top-tier player.''
Competitors should watch for dropping prices, says Tom Nolle, analyst with New Jersey- based Cimi Consulting. The movement could commoditize low-end equipment and thereby hurt those with direct sales forces, such as Cisco, Bay and Cabletron Systems Inc.
A switch that sold for $8,000 a few years ago and now sells for $800 doesn't spark much interest from commission-reliant salespeople, Nolle says. Commodity products rely on brand names and retail stores, areas where HP is strong.
''We're moving into a commoditized market, but we're not there yet,'' Nolle said. ''It will take a year or more. The question is: Is HP willing to stick it out for that period?''
Selling networking gear through retail stores hasn't been a blockbuster so far for 3Com and Intel, says Tam Dell'Oro, president of The Dell'Oro Group. But HP's networking success may depend upon it.
''HP may be able to crack that nut,'' she said. ''If they can, they will be successful moving gear down to small businesses probably faster then their competitors.''
Dataquest's Armstrong agrees.
''They're definitely a dark horse in the networking field,'' he said. ''HP doesn't have a technology challenge. It's a marketing challenge.''
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