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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert Douglas who wrote (365)7/30/1998 10:15:00 AM
From: Chip McVickar  Respond to of 3536
 
This higher figure of 3.5% for wage pressures doesn't bother me...set against
other factors driving this economy. I believe overall price inflation is still
running at only 1.5%....this would be more important. The country has obviously
been slow in rewarding its' workers with wage increases and this small
increase would be factored into the projections.

But debt loads for all countries, the Asian crisis, Japan Bankingand financial
systems, China's financial extremes and the Y2K are of more concern.

We are in a liquidity bubble with a divergent deflationary spiral gained
from technology improvements and world wide increase in the production
of all products and resources. Shortly we will see enormous price declines
for all Asian goods as they dump into ours and europes markets.
The Japanese car prices are already coming down quickly here in the east.

Somewhere this parbolic rise from 1993 (some say since 1982) will have
to be accounted for...What we do not know is "when and how much".....
If Greenspan and company can keep international monetary forces in check
these same excellant economic conditions will go on for many more years.
Keep our fingers crossed.IMHO
Chip