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Biotech / Medical : AMLN (DIABETES DRUGS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rudy Saucillo who wrote (1441)7/31/1998 7:02:00 PM
From: Peter Singleton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2173
 
Rudy, points well taken. And of course the stock price is merely a call option with a strike price $0 and expiration 2/99, with European results and corporate partnership related, sequential binary events.

Twice this year Michael Murphy has touted an imminent corporate partnership, and the stock price has briefly rallied to the $6 range.

Gotta wonder about that. There's no business logic behind a corporate partnership before the European results. Without the data, no pharma is going to offer terms AMLN can accept. Period.

Leads to two obvious scenarios for Murphy's statements about the imminence of a corporate partnership.

a - Murphy doesn't know the reality as stated above
b - Murphy knows the reality

I don't want to draw out the implications of his comments given these two scenarios. Can you think of a third? And which of the two or three scenarios do you think is likely to be true?

Peter



To: Rudy Saucillo who wrote (1441)7/31/1998 7:13:00 PM
From: celeryroot.com  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2173
 


" Keep in mind that J&J bailed and took a substantial loss on their investment in pramlintide. This happened for a
reason."

I don't think this is a very valid point, after all they swapped AMLN for ERGO >)