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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken Salaets who wrote (2329)7/31/1998 5:55:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
'

Y2K Triage: A Concept whose
Time has Come

By Howard Belasco

The hour is late, the river is rising and we
are running out of sandbags. Now what? It's
triage time.

What is triage? It is another way to say
"Prioritize." It is imperative that you
understand which of your various systems
and interfaces are absolutely vital to the
survival of your business, mission-critical,
and which are not.

Triage is a battlefield term and comes from the French
meaning "to sort". The goal of triage is to make the critical
decisions necessary to improve overall patient outcome by
quickly identifying and then prioritizing care for victims of a
catastrophe in situations where there are small resources and
a great number of victims. It determines the likelihood that
immediate medical intervention will lead to the patient's
survival.

Similarly, in our Year 2000 context, it means the exercise
during which an organization makes critical decisions about
the inclusion of specific systems in a Year 2000 project and
whether it needs to repair, replace or retire each of those
systems. These decisions are based on reviews of the
technical and business risks associated with each automated
system.

During the triage period the medical team usually divides the
group into 3 sections, and I will add a fourth.

1.Those who can survive but only if treatment is
immediately initiated in the field - patients with the
highest potential for survival but in need of emergency
medical attention are treated first. (Condition red)
2.those who will survive but can wait until transfer to a
hospital - patients with high potential for survival but not
in need of immediate medical attention. (Condition
yellow)
3.those who might survive but in order to survive require
extraordinary uses of resources. These victims are left
in the field -. (Condition black)
4.Those that are dead or close to dying - another way of
saying it is that victims with catastrophic injuries or no
vital signs are passed over. (Condition black)

In business, Year 2000 triage falls this way,

1.Critical to the operations of the business or critical to
the uninterrupted operation of the business For private
enterprise, any system which, if it fails (whether briefly
or for an extended time) will result in the company
effectively going out of business. (Such as payroll,
sales and inventory data). (Condition red) - critical for
survival, and that survival is likely ONLY if treatment
(solution to the Y2K Problem) is initiated immediately
with continuing follow-up by appropriate people with
appropriate software and hardware solutions.
2.Required to support the business. The loss of these
systems would seriously jeopardize or compromise the
ability of the company to continue to function, yet
would not stop the operations of the business. (such as
help desk, management and financial reports )
(Condition yellow) - Significant problem but not in need
of absolute immediate attention, treatment can wait
until red group taken care of but treatment can not be
postponed for long.
3.Required to support the business; however, the
importance and timetable for the activity is lower than
an item above (such as regular scheduled reports)
(condition black) - walking wounded, need to be taken
care of but time is not of the essence. It would also
include those functions that are going to end anyway
and therefore need no attention and can be left to fade
away into the sunset.
4.Functions that are dead or dying and no amount of
attention will bring them back, such as outdated
methods or old, supplanted software or hardware
systems. (condition black) Triage personnel really need
to be good at "tough love." They must be ruthless and
over-diagnose rather than under-diagnose and continue
to revisit triage decisions throughout the term of the
project.

Much has been discussed about triage and the need for it but
how do we really do this? For this answer I am indebted to
someone but I don't know who. I found this spreadsheet on the
Internet a while ago and if someone recognizes it please let
me know so I can give attribution.

Trying to decide what is mission critical for you is such a
subjective decision that you usually can not make it alone. I
had one CIO insist that over 500 of his 700 identified systems
were condition red. I have used the following to assign risk
factors to systems.

First, of course, you need to draw up a complete inventory of
all your systems, software and hardware. Then you need to
list all the ways in which your systems link up with outside
bodies, and how you exchange information and data.

Now you need to assemble the managers or department
heads or those people that are responsible for the systems
listed on your inventory.

Assign each item a number. I have seen lists over 2000 so
don't be taken aback by the large number you might have. List
these items, one after the other in column A and B of any
spreadsheet or on a piece of paper. Now, in columns C
through R of the spreadsheet (or the paper) put these
statements,

Criticality to the organization's mission
Criticality and sensitivity to well-being, safety, or
interest of general public, client, and customers
Criticality and sensitivity of data and information for:
competitive advantage, customer confidence, ensuring
privacy, confidentiality, or security
Fraud potential
Ability to produce audit trails
Degree of dependence on system
Criticality of external interfaces with other systems or
organizations
Size of user area affected
Level of process or functional complexity
Newness of process or function to users
Functional requirements changes (frequency,
magnitude, number)
Availability and adequacy of backup and recovery
procedures
Technical complexity
Margin for error (i.e., is there reasonable time to make
adjustments and corrections before the process is
completed)
Completeness, currency and accuracy of
documentation
Will you lose revenue or market share if the system
stops working

IN row S put Total score for process/function

VERY IMPORTANT - This is NOT a group exercise. It
must be done independently by each person without
consultation with any other member of the group. Use the
scoring below to determine your triage.

Scoring legend: High Risk = 5, Moderate Risk = 3, Low Risk
= 1, No Risk = 0
If the total risk for a process or function is between 60 and 75,
it is high risk. (Condition red) If the score is between 30 and
60, it is moderate risk. (Condition yellow) If between 0 and 30,
it is low risk. (Condition black)

Once you have determined what lives and what dies,
remember that you must be ruthless and LET IT DIE. The life
of your company depends on it.

The hour is late, the river is rising and we are running out of
sandbags.

y2ktimebomb.com