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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JG who wrote (15164)8/2/1998 6:31:00 PM
From: Zardoz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116759
 
Grunert:

With increasing yields, I would expect foreign capital to jump on the bandwagon and invest cash into the US bond market for two reasons.
1) A higher yield than at their own country, due to recessionary concerns their.
2) A positive currency appreciation against their currency.

Both which counter their own domestic markets. If you look at the 3 month LIBOR rates at:
quotes.reuters.com
You'll see that GBP is less likely to have a rate hike, than USA. And germany is really tide to the POG. And doesn't Germany have a large unemployed population still {not sure}. So they are less likey to raise interest rates either. Canada I suspect will raise on Tuesday, thursday the latest, by .5% {followed the next week by .5% again.}

Currency instability takes time to spread around the world. It may start in ASIAN, but it will end up in USA. {CDN now}. I'm really concerned about CHINA. They may throw in the towel too, just to get a share of the world. Watch for bond market spikes...

The EU has the potential to be the big winner here:
{A currency tied to gold: good for commodities, and related countries}