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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chenys who wrote (20063)8/2/1998 10:06:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 45548
 


>>I don't see any benefit coms would have to keep the modem business unless it can get into a technology that is 5 years ahead from the competitors and make it a standard!<<

The idea behind COMS making money in modems is that modems are
probably going to be around longer than you think. COMS will
be the best at making them because 1) it can tweak them and
make them work better than anybody else 2) it can make them
cheaper than anybody else.

These modems will be selling WORLD-WIDE, not just in the US.
Even if the US is so advanced, that it doesn't need 56K modems,
it will take the rest of the world a while to catch up.

Also, IMO, it's very unlikely that xDSL and Cable Modems are
going to sprint ahead of 56K Modems. (COMS will still be
very competitive in these areas anyways). xDSL and Cable have
been promised for years by the telco's and have they done
anything? There are incompatibilities that make 56K modem
problems look like kindergarden. And, the prices on these
poducts are astronomical compared to 56K modems.

IMO, the xDSL and Cable modems are just a lot of hype at
this point. They still have miles to go before they are
universal, convenient and as cheap to use as the public needs
and as compared to 56K modems.

Everybody's looking for an easy solution to replace
56K modems and improve bandwidth. There is none.

joe



To: chenys who wrote (20063)8/2/1998 10:56:00 PM
From: simonds  Respond to of 45548
 
He may not think it's a mistake (in long term). Admitting mistake would be devastating to the USRX employees. Anyway, it's a hindsight. If there're lessons on this it, IMO would be:
1) When you buy a company, people are the most important assets. I would get commitment from USRX top insiders NOT to sell their stock for about 2 years until the integration is worked out. If they decline, the purchase price should be cut down.
2) All bets are off when you buy technology that's in the middle of standards war.

I think 3Com was blinded by the prospect of TotalControl side of the business. They probably thought that the consumer modem side would also push the sales of TotalControl. As for the consolidation or convergence, I think 3Com will survive it just fine; it has many different products that'll keep it afloat.

Moving forward, I just wish that 3Com would fix its marketing ASAP. It's got all these good stuff, but doesn't know how to sell it. And it's going to take the new COO a while to figure out.