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To: The Ox who wrote (26953)8/3/1998 7:04:00 PM
From: Captain James T. Kirk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Monday August 3, 2:13 am Eastern Time
Saudi may back OPEC cut ahead of Nov meeting
KUWAIT, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia may back a third round of oil cuts ahead of OPEC's November meeting if oil prices were still low in late September, a Gulf source said on Monday.
''However, if in Sept OPEC made good on its commitments (to cut output) and prices did not improve to much higher than where they are now, then Saudi Arabia and OPEC may not have to wait until November'' to agree on further cuts, the source who is familiar with official Saudi thinking told Reuters.

But the Gulf source refused to say what price level the kingdom would like to see oil at in September before moving to seek a new round of cuts.

He said Riyadh would study July and August output figures and if prices were low by late September and OPEC members had abided by the two earlier rounds of cuts, then OPEC ''might even agree on additional cuts ahead of the November meeting.''

Neighbouring Kuwait has said that if North Sea Brent failed to rise by some $4 a barrel to $17 in November then a cut of at least one million barrels per day (bpd) would be warranted.

But other key oil exporters have said it could be too early to look at additional cuts. OPEC had agreed to cut supplies to a glutted market by a total of 2.6 million bpd since April 1.

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Related News Categories: international



To: The Ox who wrote (26953)8/3/1998 7:26:00 PM
From: Richard D  Respond to of 95453
 
OK Michael,

Yes I got it. I can see why Marc, you and most can see no light at the end of the tunnel yet. There is a larger camp of investors who like to see a reversal with some confirmation of support before buying. They have been more than right thus far. The risk to the strategy is that some unforeseen event takes oil dramatically higher in a brief span of time and the market makers move up OSX stocks on little or no volume. Add to this the fact that we are severely oversold already, and I don't think we have much blood left in us to spill further. We are both practicing market timing, which is possibly impossible. Your risk is that you never enter back in, thinking every rally is a bear trap, and mine is that we never rally back again.

Richard