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Biotech / Medical : VD's Model Portfolio & Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (5417)8/3/1998 11:58:00 PM
From: Cytokine1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
Heee's back, the CYTO1 that is. Wow, the market has sucked since I went on vacation. I think I'll just stay home the next time. RIght!!
Just did the posting and Rocketman, you did a great job job as a poster...check it out, I hope I got it right, with my Corona cerveza addled brain...

Seriously folks, we (the family) had a great time in Mexico City. The kids are really speaking Spanish up a storm now, I'm happy for that. Also made a small investment in a property next to my in-laws house (plan to build a small apartment there for us to stay in).

Tired, had to go to work today...later C1



To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (5417)8/4/1998 11:13:00 AM
From: Thomas M.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
My 2 &#162:

Great bull from 1945-1966. Then, a long topping process began. 1966 was the first top, but then everything ran right back up, a speculative frenzy into 1968 for the second top. Wicked bear 1969-1970. Now, Nifty Fifty dominates the rally, more and more. Small caps are getting hit more and more from 1966 to 1973. In 1973, big caps get crushed, but already-beaten-down small caps go down too. Then, starting in 1975, small caps, having been beaten down for years, begin to rally massively, 35% annually from 1975-1983. The big caps do zip for those 9 years, because their bear market just started in 1974.

My point is, small biotech will probably get a final capitulation this fall when (if) we have a nice 30-40% bear market. Thereafter, they will finally begin to reflect reality.

O.K., that was at least 3&#162. <g>

Tom