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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Real Man who wrote (946)	8/3/1998 9:31:00 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 3339

There will be more peaks and more valleys, of that one can be sure. And both can be profited from.

To: Real Man who wrote (946)	8/4/1998 4:56:00 AM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 3339

What do you mean that the decline didn't start in Asia? I am just speculating on what could trigger a crash rather than just a bear market.

To: Real Man who wrote (946)	8/4/1998 5:18:00 AM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 3339

>>>As long as the long bond keeps going up - no Bear. <<<< Vi, not so, you are thinking in inflationery mode, the inflationery peak in this cycle was in 1980, which corresponds to the inflationery peak in 1920 in the preceding cycle. Bear markets happen in deflationery mode also. This Japanese bear market has been going on with extremely low rates. This is the kind of "thinking" the street uses and is an example of what Galbraith calls the shortened financial memory - can only remember back to 87. The Kondrietieff cycle puts us right on the leading edge of a deflationary scenario and the structurally weaker economies of Asia are leading the way. bb