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To: VLAD who wrote (27058)8/5/1998 12:45:00 AM
From: Richard D  Respond to of 95453
 
Oil is off its low for the evening, down 9› vs. 18›. S&P futures down just 1.3, off its low down 4+. Tokyo down less than 1% tonight.
All in all, things could be worse tonight. Having suffered through the volatility of this sector, a market down a few percent is really nothing to us. It's like we have survived the first 25 minutes of "Saving Private Ryan" on Omaha Beach.

Richard



To: VLAD who wrote (27058)8/5/1998 1:33:00 AM
From: waverider  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 95453
 
When coupled with bear markets, which we've been in for over 3 weeks now, market extremes can last 2-3 years.

Finite amount of oil, yes...expanding demand, not at this time. The world will eventually use all the oil in the ground, but the time frame in which is this going to happen is what the market is debating now. Comments about selling at the bottom have been going on around this thread since April/May...people continued to hold and watch things like CDG go from $60 to $19. Will CDG go lower? What is the risk/reward ratio? Who the hell knows. The point is to cut your losses fast and not let them bury you.

Not that you want my advice but you might want to consider the "10% cutting your loss rule" next time. Since the March correction, I've dumped any position if it failed to rally and I was caught under 10%. It has saved my ass. To carry a stock into a 20-30% loss (or more in the OSX case) is insanity.

Until this market turns, capital preservation is the most important thing. Long term holding is suicidal...no matter what the investment community, or other SD posters, want you to think.

<H>