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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mudcat who wrote (23976)8/5/1998 11:10:00 AM
From: jayhawk969  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32384
 
Mudcat, you wrote: Thanks for the informative posts Cheryl. I've been trying to get
your same points across for over a year now but the yea-sayers just
don't listen.

Let's analyze Cheryl's post.

Bob, it's likely that the Asian currency drop HAS affected
biotechs. Asians buyers, once big investors in biotech, are now
short of money to invest, and tend to pull out of speculative stocks
and invest in safer instruments, if they are able to reinvest at all.

There's a wide range of local consequences of the Asian downturn,
especially in Pacific Rim areas such as mine. For example, our U of W is losing many Asian students. Students who invested their
entire tuition money in American banks are still here. Many whose
parents had been sending them money quarter by quarter have left.
Their devalued savings can't meet the tuition/dorm bill.


Mudcat, Cheryl uses logic and supports that logic with a relevant example. Further that example
Is one of personal experience enhancing her argument. Note there are no personal attacks.

Understanding Ligand science and milestones is important. But, in
my opinion, the near and mid-term price of LGND will be more
impacted by events in the volatile market than by any good
happenings at the company. IMO, in a down-market, any price
spikes caused by Ligand news will NOT be retained. That's why I
believe that it is illogical to predict LGND's price while the
Market is so volatile --- and I believe that it is illogical to HOPE
for any such spikes to be retained.

IMO, the Asian financial problem --- and it's negative effects in the
US and its Markets --- will be with us for a long time. So, except
for nimble and lucky traders, I expect LGND investments to be
"dead money" for a long time.


Mudcat, Cheryl offers observations and beliefs and draws a conclusion further linked to her original premise. Again no personal attacks.

For those of you in a financial position to tolerate dead money and
wait for the LONG-term possibilities, good luck.

For those of you holding dead money, and not in a good position to
be doing so, my condolences.

The wishful thinking and rosy speculation on this thread probably
cheer some of you during this downturn. Just be aware that it might
also color your expectations and decision making. That cheer
might lead to deep disappointment --- and, for some retirees,
financial ruin. Due diligence involves a lot more than listening to
Henry and "studying" Links-to-Ligand and the Breakout thread.


Mudcat, after gaining credibility Cheryl finally offers her opinion and advice, underscoring advice with
Intelligent insight, a neat lesson for us all.
I had a wise teacher that taught(or tried) to teach me that it is not enough to be right, it is effectiveness in influence and action that counts. Cheryl has set a good example and passed a favor to us all.

Respectfully,
J.D.




To: Mudcat who wrote (23976)8/5/1998 12:59:00 PM
From: Machaon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 32384
 
<< I've been trying to get your same points across for over a year now but the yea-sayers just don't listen. >>

My God, Mudrat. I might have been wrong about you all these months! Please provide the links to your previous posts that contain the same points, or a similar analysis, as Cheryl provided.

Of course, if you are only saying that to boost your ego, and you have never made such points, you can reply with your normal dribble. <g>

TIA, Bob