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Strategies & Market Trends : Bill Wexler's Profits of DOOM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Peter V who wrote (1852)8/5/1998 11:43:00 AM
From: Dr. Seuss  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4634
 
Looking for an entry into some additional shorts today.

Me too! Market has been very kind. All this margin, what to do?

Dr. Seuss



To: Peter V who wrote (1852)8/5/1998 12:22:00 PM
From: Marconi  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4634
 
Hello Peter V:

I did not doubt for a moment you were persuaded by the testimonial.

I wanted to short 500-1000 shares ZONA at 20+ last week, hoping for a rise to 21-22 first--and an account a little too tight on margin for anything otherwise. I have been tempted to short now, and if I do it would be a very minor position-- a few hundred shares maybe just for a marker position. I haven't dug into the company yet, but I believe Mr. Wexler's assessment would likely parallel mine.

If I recall correctly, I associate a 1 year time frame for nothing much to happen with ZONA. I am hoping yet for a run back up over 20. The biggest risk to this approach would be a bear market, which I am not expecting yet -- there is too much money sloshing around in the country yet, and marked with obviously poor choices for its stewardship. When the sloshing diminishes, then a bear market should set in. Meanwhile, a healthy judiciousness for only the most compelling short situations and at the right time, should be my approach.

Without my back against ever higher highs comfortably, I feel compelled to change my approach from 6 to 10 shorts, with some major emphasis on a few of those (with a close watch. of them, too) to an approach with maybe 20 modest positions and in a minimum of 6 or more sectors; very likely no more than 3 or 4 stocks in any one sector. Without the market extremum, diversification is vital for a healthier portfolio, to manage the vagaries of the marketplace to advantage.

Best regards,
m