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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Philipp who wrote (23306)8/5/1998 1:48:00 PM
From: Bonnie Bear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
The (manipulated) fed model says stocks are only 12.5% overvalued here. Be careful with the index- they can manipulate a few stocks in the S&P now to get the number where they want it.
Of course, those earnings estimates may be a problem. ;-)



To: Philipp who wrote (23306)8/6/1998 7:11:00 AM
From: Philipp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
I just finished scanning some 160 messages on this thread
since yesterday afternoon and was disappointed about how little
information they contained and how little serious discussion
seems to have taken place on this thread.

The only thing I got out of it is that the bears (short-/
intermediate-/long-term) dominate and try to reinforce each
others' positions. I would consider that a bullish sign
(at least short term). On the other hand, this is a bears'
thread. I should probably scan the MSFT or DELL (!) threads
to hear the bulls and to see whether there is any real fear
in the market yet.

I guess the real problem is that no-one honestly knows what will
happen today or tomorrow. Whether it will drop seriously today,
swing wildly again or start a big rally (tomorrow?). Various
technical analyses I have seen arrive at completely opposite
conclusions.

So we have to watch carefully, but with these wild swings that is
not so easy.

Good trading to all.

Phil

P.S: I did not watch the action last afternoon, but in retrospect
am really surprised that the market did not go into free-fall when
the 8400 Dow, 1060 SPX were broken. Real buyers, manipulation,
a dead-cat bounce (how high can a cat bounce?)?