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Technology Stocks : Newbridge Networks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doug who wrote (5878)	8/9/1998 4:38:00 PM
From: Doug	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 18016

All: Here is a broadband quiz for a quiet Sunday afternoon. Given a:Total existing Internet traffic is 4 Petabits/month b:Traffic increasing 100 fold every 1000 days. c:Existing Population is 5.7b growing at 3%. d:Useful Broadband life of a human 75 yrs. e:Maximum human input average 55 bits/sec f:Existing Fibre Capacity single strand is 25,000GigaHz but currently can only be muxed upto 4500 GigaHz. g:Maximum Copper Capacity in copper is 100 Gigabits/sec g:Existing Fibre utilization 40% (60% entirely dark.) h:Existing lit fibre utilization (.0001% of max capacity) Question: Based on the above, forecast for each of the next 3 yrs a: Traffic Growth and the percentage of data that is likely to be brand new data. b: Demand for new Fibre capacity in the next 3 yrs. c: NN's share of the pie as a percentage.