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To: treetopflier who wrote (2144)8/6/1998 9:13:00 PM
From: Jay8088  Respond to of 3424
 
Thanks for interesting comment. It does remind me that SAP itself has projected a slower growth going forward due to Y2K issue.... However I believe SAP investors should think in terms of 3-10 years horizon, not next month or next quarter.



To: treetopflier who wrote (2144)8/6/1998 9:24:00 PM
From: riposte  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 3424
 
ERP Market To Reach $52 billion by 2002


From InformationWeek...

Thursday, August 6, 1998

ERP Market To Reach $52 billion by
2002, Report Says

Fueled by strong demand for supply-chain management
applications, steady growth in the enterprise resource planning
market is expected to continue over the next several years,
according to a consultant's report released today. The worldwide
market for enterprise applications is expected to grow from $14.8
billion this year to $52 billion by 2002, according to the study of
Global 1000 companies from AMR Research.

AMR's Enterprise Resource Planning Software Report 1997-2002
predicts steady growth of the ERP market because vendors are
expanding ERP applications to more fully encompass supply-chain
management, sales-force automation, customer support, and
human resources.

"Supply chain is hot because it's easiest to justify to a CEO," says
Bruce Richardson, vice president of research strategy at AMR.
"Vendors have a strong value sale when they can show a payback
of 30% to 300%."

In addition, at companies deploying ERP systems, only 10% to 15%
of employees are using the software. Vendors are looking to build
on that installed base, by increasing the number of employees who
use the system to 40% to 60% over the next five years.

The study says ERP has expanded into vertical industries. While
originally a function of manufacturing, the technology is becoming
increasingly prevalent in sectors such as retail and health care,
many of which are in the early stages of ERP deployment.

AMR says its study refutes the notion that ERP spending is fueled
primarily by year 2000 efforts. "The Wall Street guys tend to say that
as we get closer to 2000 the ERP market is going to go off the cliff,"
Richardson says. "That's just not the case. The success of the ERP
market has been more closely tied to the U.S. economy. The
economy right now is robust, so businesses are spending more on
things like equipment, engineering, and services to build their
companies, and ERP is a big part of that."

Currently 64% of the ERP market revenue belongs to the top five
players: SAP, PeopleSoft, Baan, J.D. Edwards, and Oracle. These
companies have seen a growth rate of 61% over the past year. The
leader, SAP, should reach about $5 billion in revenue for 1998 while
the others will be in the $1 billion range, the report says.

FULL ARTICLE @
informationweek.com



To: treetopflier who wrote (2144)8/7/1998 9:43:00 AM
From: DownSouth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3424
 
I get the distinct impression that you are taking a personal experience with a particular SAP customer and generalizing across the market. That is dangerous to your pocketbook and lacks credibility.

But keep posting, because it is good for for thought.