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To: Doug who wrote (5902)8/7/1998 12:41:00 PM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
Broadband statistics:

<<<
$160 Billion Global Broadband Market in 2003

PR Newswire - August 07, 1998 12:14

WASHINGTON, Aug. 7 /PRNewswire/ -- Broadband services will become a $160 billion worldwide business in five years as long as effective competition emerges in global telecom markets. The global Internet explosion plus businesses' rapidly growing data communications needs are fueling broadband demand. But competition to incumbent telephone companies drives development and deployment of broadband networks, and without competitive providers, broadband needs are not likely to be met.

According to The Strategis Group's latest study, Global Broadband Markets: 1998, the number of businesses using broadband services will more than triple in the next five years, and the number of households with broadband service will increase nine-fold. In 2003, the average business using broadband services will spend about $800 per month for broadband access, while the average broadband household subscriber will spend $35 a month mostly for high- speed Internet access.

Business and Residential Global Broadband Service Revenues

1998 - 2003

Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Business 65,755.9 76,249.8 89,505.5 104,379.5 122,370.5 143,117.3
Residential 1,449.4 2,901.0 5,133.1 8,035.1 12,219.4 18,056.4

Revenue (US$ Millions)

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

"Now is the time for manufacturers to take advantage of broadband end-user equipment opportunities," says Jonathan R. Tarlin, Senior Vice President of International Telecommunications at The Strategis Group. The study forecasts a $20 billion broadband end-user equipment market over the next five years consisting mostly of DSL modems and cable modems.

Global Equipment Sales Revenue (millions US$), Annual and Cumulative

1998 - 2003

Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Annual 528 1486 2432 3447 5142 8106
Cumulative 528 2015 4446 7893 13035 21141

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

The U.S. will continue to lead the world in adopting broadband services and technologies. The Strategis Group's broadband forecasting model, detailed in Global Broadband Markets: 1998, suggests that North America will have 45% of global broadband service revenues in 2003, while Europe captures over one- quarter of global broadband service revenues, and the Asia-Pacific region generates another quarter. Share Of World Broadband Service Revenues By Region World data represents top 39 broadband markets.

Latin America Asia-Pacific Europe North America 4% 24% 27% 45%

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

Businesses Dominate Broadband Service Revenues

For operators and carriers, business markets are the primary revenue generators. The Strategis Group expects business sectors to generate nearly 90% of worldwide broadband service revenue. For equipment manufacturers, however, residential broadband markets represent a huge market potential because more than twice as many households as business firms will be using broadband services. The vast majority of residential broadband equipment sales will be in the form of high-speed modems.

The Strategis Group, an edr company -- with offices in Washington, D.C., London, and Singapore -- publishes in-depth market research reports and provides customized consulting services to the cable TV, satellite, Internet, broadband, and wireless communications industries. The Strategis Group's market studies, valuations, and strategic planning projects provide crucial information to communications industry leaders throughout the world. Please contact Elizabeth Harr-Bricksin at 202/530-7500 (voice), 202/530-7550 (fax), ebricksin@strategisgroup.com or Jonathan Tarlin at 202/530/7541 (voice), jtarlin@strategisgroup.com or www.strategisgroup.com for more information.

SOURCE The Strategis Group

/CONTACT: Elizabeth Harr-Bricksin, 202-530-7500 or Jonathan Tarlin,
202-530-7541, both of The Strategis Group/



To: Doug who wrote (5902)8/7/1998 1:05:00 PM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
In Part 1 they set up a Committee to study if the Nation was being served. This body was given 6 mths to complete its assessment and to make recommendations to improve accessibility if any shortcomings were observed.

Ness writes:
Indeed, section 706 requires not only that these services be deployed, but that the Commission and each state Commission encourage such deployment on a reasonable and timely basis to all Americans. Moreover, we must do so consistent with the deregulatory, market emphasis of the Act.

This is set up as a means of making sure the RBOCs implement highspeed services for the benefit of consumers in a timely manner. In other words, the FCC isn't merely facilitating advanced services but requiring them.

In Part 2 they authorised colocating Resellers in the RBOC's premises subject to certain conditions. (Most likely, the RBOC's are likely to screw the resellers on the Lease terms )

It's not quite that way. The new proposal allows RBOCs to operate their affiliates independently at competitive rates, the primary condition being they have to unbundle quickly, without playing games. Tristani writes:

Using separate affiliates would encourage incumbent LECs to improve their ordering and provisioning methods for competitors because their affiliates won't tap into the lucrative high bandwidth market unless they can obtain critical inputs to its product, such as efficient collocation and DSL-capable loops, in a timely and efficient fashion. In return, incumbent LECs' affiliates would be freed of the unbundling obligations for data equipment that will apply if DSL service is provided on an integrated basis.

In other words the ILECs have to provide speedy unbundling --- co-location and DSL-capable loops --- in exchange for the ability to charge competitive rates. This frees RBOCs to upgrade with the assurance they can co-locate at rates that will make a profit.

State regulators are given the power to oversee implementation and to take action if it's not being done in a reasonable time frame.

The only persons who might be hurt by these proposals would be unaffiliated ISPs who will now be competing head-to-head with CLECs affiliated with ILECs. The proposal states they cannot give preference to their own affiliates, but human nature being what it is. . .

Welcome rebuttal.

Pat