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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DLS who wrote (12851)8/7/1998 8:49:00 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 164687
 
Hi DLS; About the statement : There are no borrowable
shares which implies that half the investors are long and the
other half are short.

Each short sale of a single share increases the number
of shares held by bears and also the number of shares
held by bulls. Thus 7.3MM shares short means that there
are an extra 7.3MM shares held by bulls.

It could be that some of the shares held short are held by
the same people who hold shares long, in which case they
are boxed.

A given share can be sold short any number of times. The
shorting must stop only when either:
(1) The share is sold short to a long who does not allow it
to be borrowed. (This would be the case for some institutions,
as well as the usual cash (i.e. non margin) account.)
(2) The share is borrowed by someone who then doesn't
sell it.

I see the second case every day at Block trading in Seattle.
We are only allowed to short YHOO if the back office says
it has shares to short. If we want to short them, we ask. They
respond "how many?", if any are available. The office usually
gets 2000 shares, but it rarely sells them all out at any given
time. All 2000 shares are generally bought back by the end of
the day. Since we are day traders, we cannot supply shorted
sales to long term investors. That is, our shorts are covered
at the end of the day.

In any case, the fact that there are no shares to borrow, just
means that all the shares have been borrowed, no that they
have actually been sold. It is also a fact that the buyer of a
share does not know if the shares he buys are from a short
seller or a "real" owner.

It is my (possibly mistaken) understanding that the brokerage
that holds shares purchased from a short does not know that
the shares are were shorted. Therefore they can lend them
out to shorters at there own or other companies as well.
Consequently, it is possible for the same shares to be shorted
by, say 5 people, and owned, therefore, by 5+1 = 6 people.
In this case, (for the example of a million shares), the total
number of shares held long would be 6MM, and the total
number held short would be 5MM.

Those who have taken the requisite examinations in the
securities industry recently, please correct me if I am wrong.
I read a lot, but I do miss things.

When the above case occurs of more shares shorted than
exist, there is no problem unless person or group manages to
gain control over more shares long than actually exist. They
can then perform a short squeeze. They do this by transferring
(possibly slowly) there shares from margin accounts where they
can be lent out, to cash accounts where they cannot be lent.
As this happens, the shares lent out of the margin accounts
are "called" back to the lender. The account who shorted
the shares then has to give them back, by either borrowing
the same number of shares from a third party, or buying that
many on the market. If no shares are available to borrow,
he must buy them. If the securities and exchange commission
finds out about a short squeeze like this, they generally close
down trading in the stock. This has happened frequently
in the past with small issues, and has happened historically
with occasional big issues.

I don't believe AMZN is now or ever was in the presence of
a short squeeze. Shorts have been difficult to borrow, but
I have not been reading of people being forced to buy back
shares on the open market because their shares were called.
(On the other hand, a lot of shorts had to buy back shares
when their declining equity caused a margin call, but this is
not a true short squeeze.)

Given a float of, what, 20MM, and a short size of 8MM, this
would give about 28MM of long shares, and 8MM of short
shares, though I don't know what the true figures are for
AMZN right now.

-- Carl