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Strategies & Market Trends : today's chart -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Claud B who wrote (991)8/9/1998 7:54:00 PM
From: lee wang  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1267
 
Claud,

first, thank you very much for the good work.

i am interested in VIX too. look at your chart, you plotted vix against spx. but i would think vix correlates better with oex. also, i am struggling with looking for the realiable buy and sell signal generated by vix. any advice. thanks in advance.

good trading next week. future is down as i am typing.

cme.com



To: Claud B who wrote (991)8/14/1998 9:19:00 PM
From: Claud B  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1267
 
****CHARTS UPDATED****

Of the four charts I've updated this week, the most important one is
Bonds & The Dollar.
Last week I pointed out that this would be a crucial week for the Bond
market. Based
strictly on TA, it had to make its move or
be in trouble.

Well, lo and behold, Both markets made new highs. Not only that, but
history was made
this week in the Bond market. Since the 30-year Treasury Bond has been
in existence,
this is the lowest yield EVER for this instrument. And the Dollar Index
isn't far behind!

What does it all mean? THAT's the basis of my less-bearish stance on the
market this week. It's not important WHY the bonds and the
dollar rallied.
(I know....safe haven, etc. etc.) It's important that they did. Just
like stocks, as TAers
we shouldn't care why a stock went up....only that it DID go up as the
technicals had
alerted us.

I could write chapter and verse here about what all this means
fundamentally. But I'll
spare all the boredom. Suffice it to say...they went up and will
probably continue to
rise.

I will add this little aside. The dollar is acting more and more like a
surrogate for that
"yellow glitter" people used to flock to in times of economic turmoil.
Enough.

A quick comment about the other charts. There may be one more spike up
in the
vix....and that should be it for awhile. The Russell is holding above a
key support level....
and the Summation will turn soon....probably early-middle of next week. IMO.

Remember folks, they don't ring a bell when the market hits bottom.
Check your charts
and see how many have already put in important lows. Especially in the
tech sector.

All have a great week-end and excuse the ramblings.

Claud

pw1.netcom.com