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To: Ben Antanaitis who wrote (37132)8/8/1998 4:52:00 PM
From: Peter Goss  Respond to of 53903
 
DavidG, Skeeter, et al,

I have been thinking about the situation with the DRAM makers today as being somewhat analogous to the disk drive parts suppliers last summer. APM and RDRT made what looked like double bottoms as concerns over pricing and product transitions strengthened. Then the stocks rallied significantly as investors and analysts said the bottom was in. Only in late summer and early fall those earlier pressures reasserted themselves and caused the stocks to fall below those earlier lows down into the mid single digits.

I don't know if MU can go that far but I think the situations are very similar. Expectations of the cycle "as usual" caused a huge amount of pain for APM and RDRT investors. We may be seeing a parallel situation. The price charts and fundamental situations are strikingly analogous.

Peter



To: Ben Antanaitis who wrote (37132)8/16/1998 4:59:00 PM
From: Ben Antanaitis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
New Max-Pain Options Analysis graphs posted for Aug'98 options. Last day to trade Aug'98 open interest is this Friday.

The Max-Pain point for MU is still at $30. MU has drifted down from trading almost two strike prices higher than the Max-Pain point to just over one strike price above the Max-Pain point.

Ben A.
ez-pnf.com