Wash Post. The Cisco Connection. Network Giant Has Seen the Future -- and Is Poised to Piece It Together [Interestingly, ASND is only networker mentioned other than LU/NT]
washingtonpost.com
By Elizabeth Corcoran Washington Post Staff Writer Sunday, August 9, 1998; Page H01
SAN JOSE-John Chambers believes in the power of networks -- both personal and high-tech ones.
In 1991, shortly after Chambers quit as a senior vice president at Wang Laboratories Inc., he sent out a couple hundred resumes, then waited for the phone to ring. He got one interview. "The first month was kind of humbling," he conceded.
Ultimately, he was saved by a network of friends and former colleagues who knew there was more to Chambers than that resume conveyed. They introduced him to a modest company that built the plumbing for data networks, a firm called Cisco Systems Inc., which at the time had revenue of about $70 million a year. That was long before the Internet craze, years before ordinary people chatted about the speed of the electronic modems that connected their computers to the global computer network as confidently as they described the horsepower of their cars.
These days, Cisco and Chambers, who became president and chief executive in 1995, are the darlings of Silicon Valley. Cisco reported its fiscal 1998 results last week, posting a profit of $1.35 billion, or $1.26 a share, on sales of $8.5 billion, which cheered investors. By the end of the week, the company's stock topped $96 a share. Less than a month ago, Cisco joined an elite group of fewer than two dozen companies whose value as calculated by Wall Street has exceeded $100 billion.
Chambers and Cisco are the advance guard of the next wave of business and technology. The future of tech, they believe, is not about computing power -- it's about communicating. The electronic gizmos that people will use to talk to one another will become as varied and unique as trinkets on a charm bracelet. What will unite them, however, will be standardized communications networks. If Chambers has his way, Cisco's technology will reside at all the critical junctures, shuttling data from one place or device to the next.
Make no mistake -- Cisco faces tough competition as it tries to expand its business by creating the building blocks for very high-speed, sophisticated pathways that fuse together data, voice and video signals over a single network. Data-networking companies such as the smaller Ascend Communications Inc. are eagerly trying to learn how to provide technologies as reliable as the telephone network, while longtime telecommunications giants such as Lucent Technologies Inc. and Northern Telecom Inc. are scrambling to build up their data-networking muscles.
To maintain an edge, Chambers and Cisco aren't just selling new technology -- they are pushing a new way of doing business based on the Internet. Here's the pitch: Don't just become a Cisco customer, become a "partner." A partner buys Cisco's products and also gets a kind of consulting service thrown in for free: Cisco will show you how to run with the Internet pack, save money, get into new markets and generally flourish by using the power of networks. Exhibit A for how this works is Cisco itself.
The Cisco people "have a great 'slideware' story," said Kevin A. Fong, a venture capitalist with the Mayfield Fund in Menlo Park, Calif., using Valley lingo to describe Cisco's corporate strategy presentations.
Picturing the Future Every networking company wants to build technology that will fuse the traditional telephone network with the new Internet technologies. But even if the technology isn't ready, Chambers is ready with futuristic pictures that are as glossy as a layout on a living room in a decorating magazine.
On a recent summer day, Chambers is the lunchtime speaker for a group of half a dozen Italian data-communications businessmen from Omnitel Pronto Italia, based in Corsico, whom Cisco is wooing. Chambers's dress is surprisingly formal for Silicon Valley. As he greets the Italians, he gently mocks his own pale-yellow dress shirt, dark-blue suit and patterned silk tie. "It's my IBM heritage," he says apologetically, referring to the first job he had after earning graduate degrees in law and business.
He spends only a few moments on such banter. "From what I've been told, we're thinking the same way," he tells the Italians, drawing out his a's with a West Virginia drawl. It's a smooth compliment. The businessmen are proud of their company, which has one of the fastest growth rates of any firm in Europe. Even so, its earnings are only a fraction of Cisco's.
What has driven Cisco's rapid growth, he tells them, has been the company's decision to base its business around the Internet. Chambers rattles off the numbers: By relying on Internet technologies to carry out some traditional corporate functions -- including managing internal expense accounts, handling a number of customer questions and increasingly handling customer orders -- Cisco believes it saves at least $360 million a year, "which is more than our major competitors spend on R&D," he tells the Italians, referring to other data-networking companies' research and development.
Making the Pitch Chambers flips through a book of slides: Here's a graph showing Cisco's sales outpacing those of other networking companies by more than two to one; another shows Cisco's market capitalization, almost twice the value of other data-networking companies. (Those charts did not include the recently announced $800 million acquisition of Stratus Computer Inc. by Ascend.)
The implied message: Such results can be yours, too, if you adopt the Internet business style.
Chambers doesn't go into the details of Cisco's history, which are fast becoming part of Valley lore. The company was founded in 1986 by a husband-and-wife team from Stanford University who came up with an idea for building specialized computers for transmitting streams of data called routers. When an electronic message is sent via the Internet, for instance, a router breaks up the message into a jigsaw puzzle of envelopes called data packets. Every packet carries with it a network zip code for its destination called the IP, or Internet protocol, address, along with other identifying information (such as its return address, so the recipient can reply).
Routers act as the traffic directors throughout the Internet. They send data from router to router, following a map (called a routing table) and a set of rules that help a packet get closer to its destination with every move. Eventually, routers deliver the packets to the intended network and ultimately to a computer that pulls the contents from the envelopes and reassembles the message.
For years, building routers was a steady but dull business. "Five years ago, the majority of technical people thought that Cisco had the wrong model," said Eric Schmidt, chief executive of Novell Inc., a major software company. Routers, which rely heavily on software to provide the "intelligence" that helps them carry out complex tasks, were useful for connecting companies together. "Switches" were considered more powerful, capable of swiftly handling rivers of information, including traditional voice signals but limited to relatively small networks (local area networks, or LANs).
Cisco and others saw, however, that some of the technology used in switches could be used to make larger and faster routers. These days, top-of-the-line routers are so fast that they can carry voice signals along with data, albeit with varying levels of quality. Such technology has set people dreaming of the holy grail of networking: a single network that fuses data, voice and video information.
Companies such as Cisco, nonetheless, must still prove that data networks can offer high-quality connections and be as reliable and flexible as voice networks have been. No company yet has reliable products that combine voice and data signals, contended Fong of Mayfield.
Setting a Standard "Under controlled circumstances you can send voice [signals] over IP networks," he said. But before Fong considers the technology real, "you've got to make it work on Mothers' Day," the busiest calling day of the year.
As Cisco's management works on putting together the pieces for that grand network, it runs the company very handily with the communications systems available today. According to Carl Redfield, Cisco's senior vice president for manufacturing and logistics, 80 percent of Cisco's annual $2 billion in materials purchases are handled via electronic networks, in which computers at either end communicate directly with one another. The rest are handled via the Internet, he said. "I'm saying that no one should be a supplier [to Cisco] unless they do business via the Internet," he said.
Doing the Final Assembly Cisco itself largely does only the final assembly of its routers. "We want to maintain control over the intellectual property of manufacturing, not the bricks and mortar," Redfield said.
Cisco gives its suppliers intricate orders on how to build its components, and then computerized scripts for testing those parts. "We employ five people externally for every one person inside manufacturing," Redfield said. The less time and fewer people Cisco devotes to manufacturing itself, the better its profit margins.
Cisco also is nudging its customers to place orders via the World Wide Web. Cisco executives say they are booking as much as $20 million a day via the Web. The goal is to link Cisco's ordering and production system so tightly that a customer's order triggers component suppliers to ship their parts. That makes products more tailored to customer needs and shrinks inventories.
Internally, Cisco now handles all employee expenses and a growing number of customer service and support tasks via Web page applications. Proxy voting for shareholders is another candidate for the Internet.
As Chambers sees it, Cisco is just a few steps ahead of many other companies in grabbing the savings that come from becoming an "Internet company." So he's come up with a recipe to help Cisco create sticky bonds with its customers, ones that are hard for them to break.
As Cisco becomes a one-stop shop for everything a customer needs to be an Internet company, Chambers is also exploring ways that Cisco can pump up its name recognition through national advertising -- a tactic aimed at making a decision to "buy Cisco" easy to explain.
Most significantly, however, Chambers is steadily turning Cisco's "customers" into "partners" that rely on the networking company to help chart how they use technology and that even help Cisco prospect for future business. He recites his list of allies with the reverence of the devout naming the saints.
First there are "strategic alliances" with big companies such as Microsoft Corp., Intel Corp. and Compaq Computer Corp., which Cisco counts on to provide the technologies that it either can't or won't create on its own. Cisco believes that such deals should promise both it and the partner $500 million to $1 billion in revenue that they wouldn't have won on their own.
Cisco has struck 10 such deals, and Chambers has his eye on a few more. Some will be flops, he conceded. But because they let Cisco tell a customer it can arrange for all the necessary technology to create an end-to-end network, Chambers calculates that the deals are worth the effort.
'Simple' Alliances
Then there are simple "alliances." To some, these Fortune 500 companies might simply be customers. But Chambers wants Cisco executives to work closely with them to guide how they use networking technology and help them convert their suppliers and customers to the Internet way.
Cisco can also provide muscle when such companies try to win new business themselves. For instance, if Omnitel forms such an alliance with Cisco, it might both resell and use Cisco technology. Cisco executives, in turn, might help the Italians as they pitch their services throughout Europe. Chambers would like Cisco to form these alliances with as many as 80 percent of its enterprise customers, up from 50 percent today. [Not much leveraging power left...]
Finally, much as International Business Machines Corp. did a generation ago, Chambers wants even smaller customers to lean on Cisco for advice as well as technology. "IBM understood the needs of its customers better than the customers," Chambers said.
He'd like as many as half of Cisco's enterprise customers to be "partners." So far, only about 10 percent are, he said. Rather than just asking them to buy the technology, Chambers wants these companies to become a part of the Cisco story, too.
"We're building a large part of our strategy around our ability to partner," he tells the Italian executives. "Maybe you'll say you aren't that big, but if you are cutting-edge, then your impact is just as important to us."
Forty-five minutes later, Chambers is driving his message home: "I need three short-term and long-term goals that you want from us," he says. As soon as they and Cisco managers can agree on the goals, the deal will go forward.
The meeting ends cordially, with Chambers offering to lend a Cisco hand when the Italians grapple with their government over regulations that affect the Internet. "If there's anything we can do to help . . . just call us," he urges them.
Afterward, he sends them bottles of a California cabernet. It's vintage Chambers: a gesture that delights the Italians and guarantees they won't forget about Cisco. The bottles have a Cisco emblem indelibly etched into the glass.
c Copyright 1998 The Washington Post Company
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