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To: TraderGreg who wrote (8934)8/16/1998 2:18:00 AM
From: TraderGreg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11708
 
off topic-- Ruth/Maris Home Run Chase

1998 projections for current contenders
Griffey and Vaughn far off pace
Sosa holding but still behind
McGwire slightly behind but getting walked...alot

Ruth--60HR/154gm; Maris--61HR/162gm

Year to Date Projections
154 gm HR Gms Avg Min Max
McGwire 47 121 60 53 67
Sosa 46 123 58 51 64
Griffey 42 120 54 48 60
GVaughn 39 122 49 43 55
162 gm
McGwire 47 121 63 55 71
Sosa 46 123 61 53 68
Griffey 42 120 57 50 64
GVaughn 39 122 52 45 59

The record is Ruth's based on HR/game.
To beat it will require 61HR in 154 games or
64HR in 162 games.