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Technology Stocks : Identix (IDNX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David who wrote (9852)8/9/1998 1:53:00 PM
From: jean  Respond to of 26039
 
Competitor for Time and Attendance? Jean

web.lexis-nexis.com



To: David who wrote (9852)8/9/1998 5:04:00 PM
From: jean  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26039
 
Dave in DC...Dragged the following Yahoo post by sspenard over here FYI. Thought you should see the well-deserved compliment, especially since he usually expresses contempt for SI posters. Jean

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David (a smart guy)on SI says Identicator has annual revenues of about $7 million.I
believe Identicator is only involved with commercial Bio-Id markets.This is the key
market.
Lets break IDX down.Annual revs of $79 million.$44 million of this rev comes from
Anadac which has nothing to do with Bio-Id.This leaves $35 million for product
sales.The vast majority of these sales is for the TP600 which is for AFIS not commercial
Bio-Id market.I'll assume 90% of product sales are for TP600.This is about $31
million.This leaves IDX with commercial Bio-Id sales of about $4 million annually.
If I am close in my assumption,Identicator may have more sales in the Bio-Id market(if
David's $7 mil figure is correct for Identicator) than IDX.
So I have to disagree with David saying Identicator is an IPO to avoid and there is not
much there.If Identicator has any success with their products with Compaq and
Mastercard this could hurt IDX because I do not think they have a product to compete
with at this price point.Maybe the F3?Maybe not.
The Bio-Id market is up for grabs and IDX has not capitalized on it yet.This Oracle
product they have may not be at the right price point to get it widely deployed.Maybe it
is buggy,who knows since we get little info from IDX about this product that has no
sales.I don't think you can blame the marketplace for no sales after about 3 years.Pilots
don't last three years...maybe a year, 18 months tops.
I have a good chunk of change on IDX hoping it can be a major player in the Bio-Id
market..so far it really hasn't made a dent in this market.But in the meantime,I think
Identicator can be a player in this market and would buy their shares if they go
public.Buying Identicator can't be any worse than my losses with IDX so far.And maybe
Identicator will have a better relationship
with their shareholders and the Street than IDX has.
Any Identicator guys out there to give us some info?Or IDX guys for that matter.