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To: mauser96 who wrote (62177)	8/9/1998 3:07:00 PM
From: Paul Engel	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 186894

Lucius - Re: "a majority of Americans don't want or don't need a computer" I don't know about a majority, but I suspect that there are a LOT OF PEOPLE who wouldn't have clue what to do with a computer. Let's face it, there are many people who are not all that technical and struggle with programming a simple VCR. For them, a computer still must seem like "science fiction". On the flip side, those that do have computers - and use them productively - have and will have - an enormous technical and economic advantage over those that do not use computers. Example - look at the new "Wall Street Billionaires" - founders of new technology startups (Yahoo and AOL come to mind). When was the last you heard of a Bricklayer Billionaire or McDonald's Burger-server billionaire or College-Basketball/Football draftee Billionaire? Heck - the Sports world seems to be making ONLY MILLIONAIRES out of their best and "Brightest" !!!!! What a step backwards ! Paul

To: mauser96 who wrote (62177)	8/10/1998 12:24:00 PM
From: rudedog	Respond to of 186894

Lucius - the POTS type modem seems to have reached a stage where the speed possibilities and design are static The POTS lines themselves are now increasingly 'virtual'. I have 6 POTS lines going into my home, but there is only one wire pair from the connection point out to SWBell. The POTS signals are multiplexed on a higher-speed digital connection. Given the development of DSL, there will probably be only DSL on the wire most places, with POTS drops taken out of a splitter somewhere upstream of the user. This is also a great way for the telcos to leverage their existing infrastructure investment while setting up for DSL, since the existing POTS wire pairs can carry more than 50 standard POTS connections with only minor conditioning. the investment consists of no single DSL line without a repeater every 12,000 feet.

To: mauser96 who wrote (62177)	8/11/1998 1:33:00 AM
From: stak	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 186894

>>>I read elsewhere that the home PC penetration in the US hasn't changed much since the price declines. If correct, this may mean that a majority of Americans don't want or don't need a computer, even if it costs less than $1000. Maybe the price level to attract a lot of new home customers is much lower,in the range of the cost of a TV. <<< Can anyone lead me to a source for finding out the ASP of PC on a month to month basis from 1996. Also ASP values on a quarterly or annual basis for pre-1996 PCs? Does anyone know a source for finding out the market penetration of PCs on a month to month basis from 1996? I believe that PC penetration is at 45-46% in the US at this time, but I would like to confirm this figure. A steepening of the penetration curve post 1997 would indicate that the $1,000 level is significant to buyer resistance. A $500-800 range for PCs may be necessary to drive penetration over the 50% level. Ultimately, a $200-300 range will be needed to drive over an 80-90% penetration in the US.