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To: MR. PANAMA (I am a PLAYER) who wrote (13050)8/9/1998 8:41:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
IPO VIEW- Hot Internet deals face turbulent market

Reuters Story - August 09, 1998 18:56
%BUS %ENT %US %WHO %JP %PUB %TEL %IPO %ISU %STX USAI 9984.T ZD AMZN YHOO CSN V%REUTER P%RTR

By Holly Rosenkrantz
NEW YORK, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Hot offerings from CitySearch
Inc. and GeoCities highlight a pack of Internet-related
companies set to go public this week, but analysts cautioned
the wider market's gyrations could damage their prospects.
It seemed ironic to some IPO watchers that the broader
market's deepest and most dramatic plunge of the year came the
very week before CitySearch and GeoCities, two of the most
highly-anticipated Internet deals, are scheduled to go public.
For months, Internet offerings have managed to withstand
increasing choppiness in the new-issue market, showing strong
gains after going public while most other deals have been
slimmed down because of weak demand.
But people who buy and sell IPO shares said the correction
of the past week has, at least for now, wiped out any desire to
speculate on new stocks. Investors are suddenly on the
defensive.
"Small-cap fund managers have seen their portfolios get
obliterated this week, just beaten to pieces, and a lot of
people are dealing with double-digit losses for the year," said
Claudia Mott, director of small-cap research at Prudential
Securities. "People have no cash, and its unlikely they're
going to start selling a stock to bet on something new."
Still, the buzz over CitySearch and GeoCities has been
strong enough to create demand for the deals.
The two companies have some things in common. Both are
being handled by what the IPO market considers strong
underwriters: GeoCities by Goldman Sachs, and CitySearch by
NationsBanc Montgomery Securities.
Also, both companies have the support of some high-profile
investors. CitySearch is 17 percent owned by Barry Diller's USA
Networks Inc. , and GeoCities is 30 percent owned by
Japan's Softbank Corp. , which sold its publishing
unit, Ziff-Davis Inc. , to the public in an April IPO.
But the two have different business and income profiles.
CitySearch is an online arts and entertainment guide. It
revenue comes from local businesses, who pay CitySearch to
create and maintain advertisement sites on the World Wide Web.
GeoCities runs a service for creating online communities.
The company helps individuals build Web sites, and rather than
charging them for the service, the company gets its revenues
from advertisers.
Of the two models, CitySearch is seen as having a more
solid revenue source. But GeoCities is rated among the
most-visited sites on the Internet -- the type of credential
that in a better market would send investors into a frenzy,
analysts said.
"GeoCities is in the same league as Amazon.com and
Yahoo in terms of recognition," said Ryan Jacob,
director of research at the IPO Value Monitor.
But whether that will matter to investors this week will
hinge on how the big ocean of stocks performs on Monday,
analysts said. If the market recovers some of the past week's
losses, underwriters are expected to push ahead with GeoCities
and CitySearch.
Other well-watched deals on the schedule are Convergys
Corp., a unit of Cincinnati Bell Inc. , cable modem
maker Terayon Communications Systems and three Internet-related
companies: 24/7 Media, Digital River and Entrust Technologies
Inc.
"GeoCities and CitySearch are known names with known
underwriters, and if the market is alright Monday, I think they
can get these done early in the week," said Patrick Ashe,
syndicate manager at C.E. Unterberg, Towbin.
"But to be honest, the phones are not ringing off the hook
with people asking about new issues."