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To: Rocket Scientist who wrote (4197)8/9/1998 11:05:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10852
 
Hi Rocket Scientist:

There are a few differences between Skystation and
Cyberstar/Skybridge or Teledesic. First, there is time
to market. Cyberstar/Skybridge will start operations in
99, 2 years ahead of SkyStation. Obviously, when customers
find a service with which they are happy, they do not
look around. Second, as you point out, satellite systems
will cover rural areas. Finally, there are lots of uses
for which satellites are ideal, such as multicasting
and services for international corporations with
operations in several continents.

Concerning the demand for broadband, it is huge. Keep
in mind that data traffic passed telephony traffic
across IXC backbones a few years ago. This traffic keeps
growing at a phenomenal rate (I think that George
Gilder has extremely striking statistics in several
of his reports). However, even satellite systems are
not a slam dunk. They will be facing fierce competition
from fiber based CLECs, wireless CLECS, and companies
deploying either cable or xDSL for the last mile.

While I am quite convinced that satellite telephony
systems such as G* will be successful, I am slightly
more guarded about satellite data systems, although
since Cyberstar/Skybridge will be first to market, it
will be best positioned.

However, if there is one thing I am sure of, it is that
SkyStation does not stand a chance. It has targeted
urban markets where competitions will be fiercest, and
where there will be many strong competitors with a two
or three years lead. And I am not even mentioning the
technical feasibility of the blimp system.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy